Results
Sunday, November 8
Every game that day, with the forecast and whether it called the winner.
21–5
21 of 26 winners called · 26 locked before the game
- NFL
- 12–1 · 92%
- NBA
- 5–2 · 71%
- NHL
- 4–2 · 67%
Last 30 game days
288–150 · 66% of winners called
Greener is more winners called. Each square opens that day.
Biggest upset · NBA
Lakers beat Pistons 121–116
The forecast gave LAL 29%
Most confident call · NBA
Celtics at 86%
Called it: BOS 117, MIL 97
Standouts
- C.J. Stroud384 passing yardsNFL · HOU · HOU @ LAC
- Kenneth Walker III102 rushing yardsNFL · KC · NYJ @ KC
- CeeDee Lamb195 receiving yardsNFL · DAL · DAL @ IND
- Austin Reaves43 pointsNBA · LAL · LAL @ DET
- Walker Kessler16 reboundsNBA · LAL · LAL @ DET
- Josh Giddey15 assistsNBA · CHI · PHI @ CHI
- Cutter Gauthier4 pointsNHL · ANA · PIT @ ANA
- Brady Tkachuk8 shots on goalNHL · FLA · FLA @ BOS
- Jeremy Swayman40 savesNHL · BOS · FLA @ BOS
The model's prop picks
Lines where our player model disagreed with the book by 10+ points, logged before each game and graded from the box score: the forward test of the props model. Overall they're 922–793 (+0.6% a bet) in the NBA, 70–66 (−8.5% a bet) in the NHL. A record, not tips. Full record →
NBA98–60 · +16.8% a bet
- Kobe Sanders over 6.5 points8Hit
- Kobe Sanders over 8.5 points + rebounds10Hit
- Rui Hachimura under 6.5 rebounds + assists5Hit
- Rui Hachimura under 5.5 rebounds3Hit
- Precious Achiuwa under 7.5 rebounds14Miss
- Darius Acuff Jr. under 37.5 points + rebounds + assists47Miss
- Darius Acuff Jr. under 33.5 points + assists42Miss
- Rui Hachimura under 24.5 points + rebounds + assists19Hit
The 8 biggest disagreements of 158 graded.
NHL9–9 · −10.0% a bet
- Ben Kindel under 0.5 points0Hit
- Laurent Brossoit under 25.5 saves31Miss
- Tristan Luneau under 1.5 shots on goal2Miss
- Rickard Rakell under 2.5 shots on goal3Miss
- Egor Chinakhov under 1.5 shots on goal1Hit
- Ben Kindel under 2.5 shots on goal1Hit
- Travis Sanheim under 1.5 shots on goal0Hit
- Porter Martone under 0.5 points0Hit
The 8 biggest disagreements of 18 graded.
Every game
Sunday, November 826 games
Bengals
6-2
Falcons
3-6
Browns
5-4
Saints
3-5
Cowboys
4-5
Colts
2-7
Broncos
7-2
Panthers
3-5
Lions
6-2
Dolphins
1-7
Rams
5-4
Commanders
2-5-1
Giants
5-2-1
Eagles
2-7
Jets
2-7
Chiefs
6-2
Panthers
9-7-2
Bruins
13-4-1
76ers
9-2
Bulls
1-8
Golden Knights
12-5-2
Sabres
8-6-3
Texans
3-5
Chargers
0-8
Raiders
4-5
49ers
7-1
Cardinals
3-6
Seahawks
5-4
Packers
6-3
Patriots
5-4
Lakers
9-2
Pistons
6-3
Lightning
11-4-2
Jets
7-8-3
Jazz
1-9
Timberwolves
8-3
Devils
13-5-0
Maple Leafs
8-9-2
Flyers
4-10-5
Flames
8-9-1
Nets
2-8
Mavericks
6-4
Celtics
8-2
Bucks
1-9
Penguins
6-10-2
Ducks
10-7-1
Buccaneers
3-6
Bears
7-2
Pelicans
4-6
Clippers
2-7
Heat
4-6
Kings
1-9