Results
Wednesday, October 28
Every game that day, with the forecast and whether it called the winner.
13–4
13 of 17 winners called · 17 locked before the game
- NBA
- 9–3 · 75%
- MLB
- 1–0 · 100%
- NHL
- 3–1 · 75%
Last 30 game days
288–150 · 66% of winners called
Greener is more winners called. Each square opens that day.
Biggest upset · NBA
Mavericks beat Thunder 120–96
The forecast gave DAL 34%
Most confident call · NBA
Spurs at 83%
Called it: SA 117, UTAH 111
Comeback of the day · NBA
76ers came back
Down to 14% after Q3, beat IND 114–109
Standouts
- Stephen Curry44 pointsNBA · GS · GS @ MIN
- Giannis Antetokounmpo18 reboundsNBA · MIA · MIA @ ATL
- Andrew Nembhard14 assistsNBA · IND · PHI @ IND
- Dylan Strome3 pointsNHL · WSH · PHI @ WSH
- Cale Makar6 shots on goalNHL · COL · NJ @ COL
- Jake Allen40 savesNHL · NJ · NJ @ COL
The model's prop picks
Lines where our player model disagreed with the book by 10+ points, logged before each game and graded from the box score: the forward test of the props model. Overall they're 922–793 (+0.6% a bet) in the NBA, 70–66 (−8.5% a bet) in the NHL. A record, not tips. Full record →
NBA187–134 · +8.8% a bet
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 6.5 assists2Miss
- Kenrich Williams under 4.5 rebounds3Hit
- Kenrich Williams under 13.5 points + rebounds10Hit
- Cooper Flagg under 6.5 assists8Miss
- Cooper Flagg under 13.5 rebounds + assists13Hit
- Cooper Flagg under 37.5 points + rebounds + assists39Miss
- Kenrich Williams under 8.5 points7Hit
- Cooper Flagg under 30.5 points + assists34Miss
The 8 biggest disagreements of 321 graded.
NHL14–8 · +6.8% a bet
- Cale Makar under 2.5 shots on goal6Miss
- Nathan MacKinnon under 3.5 shots on goal2Hit
- Martin Necas under 2.5 shots on goal4Miss
- Aliaksei Protas under 1.5 shots on goal3Miss
- Jakob Chychrun under 2.5 shots on goal1Hit
- Jake Allen under 26.5 saves40Miss
- Alex Formenton under 1.5 shots on goal1Hit
- Pierre-Luc Dubois under 1.5 shots on goal1Hit
The 8 biggest disagreements of 22 graded.
Every game
Wednesday, October 2817 games
Heat
1-4
Hawks
2-3
Wizards
2-3
Cavaliers
3-1
Hornets
3-2
Pistons
4-1
76ers
4-1
Pacers
2-3
Magic
1-3
Raptors
3-1
Flyers
3-8-4
Capitals
7-4-0
Knicks
2-3
Bulls
1-4
Rockets
5-0
Bucks
1-4
Warriors
2-3
Timberwolves
3-2
Nuggets
2-2
Pelicans
0-4
Brewers
103-59
Rays
98-64
Flames
5-7-0
Oilers
9-2-2
Spurs
3-2
Jazz
1-4
Devils
8-5-0
Avalanche
7-5-1
Thunder
4-1
Mavericks
3-2
Maple Leafs
7-6-2
Kraken
8-4-1
Lakers
4-1
Clippers
1-3