Results
Wednesday, November 4
Every game that day, with the forecast and whether it called the winner.
13–5
13 of 18 winners called · 18 locked before the game
- NBA
- 10–4 · 71%
- NHL
- 3–1 · 75%
Last 30 game days
288–150 · 66% of winners called
Greener is more winners called. Each square opens that day.
Biggest upset · NBA
Timberwolves beat Rockets 117–107
The forecast gave MIN 27%
Most confident call · NBA
Knicks at 82%
Called it: NY 135, CHI 105
Comeback of the day · NBA
Heat came back
Down to 20% after Q2, beat LAC 117–116
Standouts
- Victor Wembanyama52 pointsNBA · SA · DAL @ SA
- Ausar Thompson17 reboundsNBA · DET · PHI @ DET
- Deni Avdija12 assistsNBA · POR · POR @ PHX
- Sandis Vilmanis4 pointsNHL · FLA · CHI @ FLA
- Sam Reinhart6 shots on goalNHL · FLA · CHI @ FLA
- Darcy Kuemper30 savesNHL · LA · SJ @ LA
The model's prop picks
Lines where our player model disagreed with the book by 10+ points, logged before each game and graded from the box score: the forward test of the props model. Overall they're 922–793 (+0.6% a bet) in the NBA. A record, not tips. Full record →
NBA82–91 · −10.4% a bet
- Rui Hachimura under 5.5 rebounds9Miss
- Austin Reaves under 23.5 points21Hit
- Austin Reaves under 29.5 points + assists25Hit
- Austin Reaves under 33.5 points + rebounds + assists28Hit
- Brook Lopez under 5.5 rebounds8Miss
- Austin Reaves under 28.5 points + rebounds24Hit
- Cooper Flagg under 31.5 points + assists24Hit
- Victor Wembanyama under 37.5 points + rebounds76Miss
The 8 biggest disagreements of 173 graded.
Every game
Wednesday, November 418 games
76ers
8-1
Pistons
6-2
Hawks
5-4
Wizards
4-4
Bucks
1-7
Celtics
6-2
Hornets
3-6
Nets
2-6
Bulls
1-7
Knicks
4-4
Senators
10-6-1
Sabres
7-5-3
Blackhawks
4-11-1
Panthers
9-5-2
Pacers
3-6
Grizzlies
6-2
Jazz
1-7
Pelicans
4-4
Cavaliers
4-4
Thunder
6-2
Timberwolves
6-3
Rockets
7-2
Raptors
4-4
Nuggets
4-3
Trail Blazers
6-1
Suns
1-5
Mavericks
4-4
Spurs
6-2
Lakers
7-2
Kings
1-7
Sharks
7-9-1
Kings
5-7-2
Flames
7-8-1
Kraken
9-5-1
Heat
3-5
Clippers
1-7