Results
Monday, October 26
Every game that day, with the forecast and whether it called the winner.
6–8
6 of 14 winners called · 14 locked before the game
- NFL
- 1–0 · 100%
- NBA
- 5–4 · 56%
- MLB
- 0–1 · 0%
- NHL
- 0–3 · 0%
Last 30 game days
288–150 · 66% of winners called
Greener is more winners called. Each square opens that day.
Biggest upset · NBA
Mavericks beat Heat 113–109
The forecast gave DAL 29%
Most confident call · NBA
Celtics at 85%
Called it: BOS 134, CHI 99
Comeback of the day · NBA
Bucks came back
Down to 16% after Q2, beat IND 110–102
Standouts
- Dak Prescott212 passing yardsNFL · DAL · DAL @ PHI
- Javonte Williams155 rushing yardsNFL · DAL · DAL @ PHI
- CeeDee Lamb74 receiving yardsNFL · DAL · DAL @ PHI
- Anthony Edwards47 pointsNBA · MIN · MIN @ CLE
- Rudy Gobert20 reboundsNBA · MIN · MIN @ CLE
- Cooper Flagg11 assistsNBA · DAL · DAL @ MIA
- Drew Doughty3 pointsNHL · LA · LA @ NYR
- Adrian Kempe7 shots on goalNHL · LA · LA @ NYR
- Sergei Bobrovsky29 savesNHL · TOR · TOR @ CGY
The model's prop picks
Lines where our player model disagreed with the book by 10+ points, logged before each game and graded from the box score: the forward test of the props model. Overall they're 922–793 (+0.6% a bet) in the NBA, 70–66 (−8.5% a bet) in the NHL. A record, not tips. Full record →
NBA158–167 · −9.7% a bet
- Yaxel Lendeborg under 9.5 rebounds + assists18Miss
- Stephen Curry under 24.5 points24Hit
- Stephen Curry under 29.5 points + assists27Hit
- Yaxel Lendeborg under 24.5 points + rebounds + assists49Miss
- Stephen Curry under 32.5 points + rebounds + assists30Hit
- Stephen Curry under 27.5 points + rebounds27Hit
- Yaxel Lendeborg under 20.5 points + rebounds43Miss
- Yaxel Lendeborg under 17.5 points + assists37Miss
The 8 biggest disagreements of 325 graded.
NHL4–4 · −5.2% a bet
- Ryan Shea under 1.5 shots on goal0Hit
- Leon Draisaitl under 3.5 shots on goal3Hit
- Adam Fox under 1.5 blocks2Miss
- Zayne Parekh under 0.5 assists1Miss
- Ryan Nugent-Hopkins under 1.5 shots on goal5Miss
- Vasily Podkolzin under 1.5 shots on goal1Hit
- Michal Postava under 24.5 saves24Hit
- Zayne Parekh under 0.5 points1Miss
Every game
Monday, October 2614 games
Wizards
2-2
Hornets
3-1
Timberwolves
3-1
Cavaliers
2-1
Kings
3-5-2
Rangers
7-6-1
Bulls
1-3
Celtics
2-1
Mavericks
2-2
Heat
0-4
Pacers
2-2
Bucks
1-3
Suns
1-2
Thunder
4-0
Brewers
103-59
Rays
98-64
Cowboys
3-4
Eagles
2-5
Hawks
2-2
Rockets
4-0
Maple Leafs
7-5-2
Flames
5-6-0
Grizzlies
4-0
Jazz
1-3
Red Wings
5-4-3
Oilers
8-2-2
Warriors
1-3
Nuggets
1-2