Results
Saturday, October 31
Every game that day, with the forecast and whether it called the winner.
14–3
14 of 17 winners called · 17 locked before the game
- NBA
- 6–1 · 86%
- NHL
- 8–2 · 80%
Last 30 game days
288–150 · 66% of winners called
Greener is more winners called. Each square opens that day.
Biggest upset · NBA
Pelicans beat Hawks 121–99
The forecast gave NO 38%
Most confident call · NBA
Spurs at 82%
Called it: SA 121, MIN 111
Standouts
- Victor Wembanyama43 pointsNBA · SA · MIN @ SA
- Domantas Sabonis14 reboundsNBA · SAC · SAC @ MEM
- Cam Spencer13 assistsNBA · MEM · SAC @ MEM
- Cale Makar4 pointsNHL · COL · CGY @ COL
- Anton Frondell9 shots on goalNHL · CHI · CHI @ BOS
- Michael DiPietro38 savesNHL · BOS · CHI @ BOS
The model's prop picks
Lines where our player model disagreed with the book by 10+ points, logged before each game and graded from the box score: the forward test of the props model. Overall they're 922–793 (+0.6% a bet) in the NBA, 70–66 (−8.5% a bet) in the NHL. A record, not tips. Full record →
NBA149–106 · +9.1% a bet
- Marcus Smart under 12.5 points + assists27Miss
- Marcus Smart under 5.5 rebounds + assists8Miss
- Marcus Smart under 15.5 points + rebounds + assists32Miss
- Marcus Smart under 8.5 points24Miss
- Marcus Smart under 3.5 assists3Hit
- Bennett Stirtz under 7.5 points11Miss
- Marcus Smart under 11.5 points + rebounds29Miss
- Kenrich Williams under 11.5 points + rebounds18Miss
The 8 biggest disagreements of 255 graded.
NHL13–11 · +0.9% a bet
- Anton Frondell under 1.5 shots on goal9Miss
- Zack Bolduc under 1.5 shots on goal2Miss
- Sergei Murashov under 26.5 saves22Hit
- Mavrik Bourque under 1.5 shots on goal1Hit
- Jake Oettinger under 22.5 saves24Miss
- Roman Kantserov under 0.5 assists1Miss
- Connor Bedard under 2.5 shots on goal6Miss
- Moritz Seider under 2.5 blocks2Hit
The 8 biggest disagreements of 24 graded.
Every game
Saturday, October 3117 games
Blackhawks
4-9-1
Bruins
10-4-1
Blues
7-6-1
Red Wings
6-5-3
Lightning
8-3-2
Predators
5-4-5
Oilers
10-2-2
Islanders
7-5-2
Trail Blazers
4-1
Jazz
1-5
Sabres
7-4-3
Kings
4-7-2
Senators
9-5-1
Sharks
7-7-1
76ers
6-1
Hornets
3-4
Hawks
3-4
Pelicans
2-4
Penguins
5-7-2
Canadiens
9-3-2
Maple Leafs
8-6-2
Canucks
3-12-1
Kings
0-6
Grizzlies
6-0
Cavaliers
4-2
Bucks
1-5
Timberwolves
4-3
Spurs
4-2
Blue Jackets
5-7-0
Stars
8-5-1
Thunder
4-2
Rockets
6-1
Flames
6-8-0
Avalanche
8-5-1