Results
Friday, October 30
Every game that day, with the forecast and whether it called the winner.
6–7
6 of 13 winners called · 13 locked before the game
- NBA
- 5–5 · 50%
- NHL
- 1–2 · 33%
Last 30 game days
288–150 · 66% of winners called
Greener is more winners called. Each square opens that day.
Biggest upset · NBA
Mavericks beat Rockets 116–111
The forecast gave DAL 32%
Most confident call · NBA
Celtics at 86%
Called it: BOS 125, CHI 111
Comeback of the day · NBA
Warriors came back
Down to 6% after Q1, beat LAL 112–95
Standouts
- Scottie Barnes41 pointsNBA · TOR · ORL @ TOR
- Giannis Antetokounmpo18 reboundsNBA · MIA · IND @ MIA
- Franz Wagner11 assistsNBA · ORL · ORL @ TOR
- Matt Coronato4 pointsNHL · CGY · SEA @ CGY
- Arseny Gritsyuk8 shots on goalNHL · NJ · NJ @ VGK
- Nico Daws33 savesNHL · WPG · WPG @ FLA
The model's prop picks
Lines where our player model disagreed with the book by 10+ points, logged before each game and graded from the box score: the forward test of the props model. Overall they're 922–793 (+0.6% a bet) in the NBA, 70–66 (−8.5% a bet) in the NHL. A record, not tips. Full record →
NBA127–125 · −6.0% a bet
- Khaman Maluach under 7.5 rebounds6Hit
- Khaman Maluach under 16.5 points + rebounds15Hit
- Khaman Maluach under 8.5 points9Miss
- Walker Kessler under 14.5 points10Hit
- Austin Reaves under 29.5 points + assists26Hit
- Austin Reaves under 33.5 points + rebounds + assists30Hit
- Luka Doncic under 43.5 points + assists42Hit
- Luka Doncic under 50.5 points + rebounds + assists49Hit
The 8 biggest disagreements of 252 graded.
NHL6–3 · −1.6% a bet
- Elias Salomonsson under 0.5 points0Hit
- Nico Hischier under 2.5 shots on goal1Hit
- Tomas Hertl under 1.5 shots on goal2Miss
- Mitch Marner under 2.5 shots on goal1Hit
- Zayne Parekh under 0.5 assists0Hit
- Seth Jones under 2.5 shots on goal1Hit
- Elias Salomonsson under 0.5 assists0Hit
- Anton Lundell under 2.5 shots on goal8Miss
The 8 biggest disagreements of 9 graded.
Every game
Friday, October 3013 games
Devils
9-5-0
Golden Knights
9-5-1
Hornets
3-3
Wizards
3-3
Jets
4-7-3
Panthers
8-4-2
Bulls
1-5
Celtics
4-1
Pistons
5-1
Nets
0-5
Knicks
2-4
76ers
5-1
Magic
2-3
Raptors
3-2
Pacers
2-4
Heat
2-4
Rockets
5-1
Mavericks
4-2
Clippers
1-4
Timberwolves
4-2
Kraken
8-5-1
Flames
6-7-0
Lakers
4-2
Warriors
3-3
Nuggets
3-2
Suns
1-3