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NHL · Vegas Golden Knights

Tomas Hertl

14 min

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Next: UTA @ VGK

. Over chances follow the book's number with its margin removed; our projection and model chance sit beside it.

StatProjLineL10OverParlay
Points0.60.55/10 games over this line49%
Assists0.30.52/10 games over this line31%
Shots on goal1.82.5up from 1.54/10 games over this line34%

Any line

The chance he clears other lines next game, like the alternate lines books sell (25+ points and so on).

  • Over 0.5DraftKings line49%
  • 2+15%
  • 3+3%

Read off the book's line and its chance, with how much this stat usually spreads around it. Checked on later games the fit never saw: lines put at about 17% went over 15% of the time in the NBA, 16% in the NHL and 14% in the NFL (overs ran a little short in that stretch, main lines included), and where the book posted alternate lines of its own, its prices and these chances were about even. Alternate lines carry no price here: enter your book's price on the parlay page.

Recent games

Newest first. Each stat next to the book's main line that game, where one is on file: green went over, red went under.

0121Oct 13@ NSH0Oct 15vs CGY0Oct 17vs PIT0Oct 20vs TB0Oct 22@ STL1Oct 24@ CBJ0Oct 27vs OTT0Oct 30vs NJ1Nov 2@ BOS2Nov 3@ PIT1Nov 5@ DET2Nov 8@ BUF- - Next line 0.5

Bars are what he did; the dark tick is that game's line (green went over, red under); the dashed line is his next game's line.

GameRolePointsGoalsAssistsShots on goalBlocks
Nov 8 @ BUF14 min2/ 0.520/ 0.53/ 1.50
Nov 5 @ DET14 min1/ 0.501/ 0.52/ 1.51
Nov 3 @ PIT15 min2/ 0.520/ 0.53/ 2.50
Nov 2 @ BOS14 min1/ 0.501/ 0.54/ 2.51
Oct 30 vs NJ16 min0/ 0.500/ 0.52/ 1.50
Oct 27 vs OTT13 min0/ 0.500/ 0.52/ 2.50
Oct 24 @ CBJ13 min1/ 0.510/ 0.51/ 2.50
Oct 22 @ STL14 min0/ 0.500/ 0.52/ 1.52
Oct 20 vs TB17 min0/ 0.500/ 0.55/ 2.50
Oct 17 vs PIT15 min0/ 0.500/ 0.51/ 2.50
Oct 15 vs CGY17 min0/ 0.500/ 0.53/ 2.52
Oct 13 @ NSH14 min1/ 0.510/ 0.52/ 1.50
Average, these 12 games0.70.50.22.50.5

Against the line in these games: Points over 6 of 12 · Assists over 2 of 12 · Shots on goal over 9 of 12. A handful of games says little: books move the line to his recent form, which is why streaks like these rarely carry on.

Splits

What he's averaged, cut a few ways: a description of past games, not a forecast. Home and road cover this season, leaving out neutral sites.

SplitGamesPointsGoalsAssistsShots on goalBlocks
This season190.70.50.32.50.5
Last season1040.70.30.42.30.5
Last 10100.70.50.22.50.4
At home90.10.10.02.80.4
On the road101.30.80.52.20.5

Against Mammoth

His last 6 games against his next opponent, newest first, back through the seasons on file. A few games against one team is a small sample, and rosters change between seasons.

GameRolePointsGoalsAssistsShots on goalBlocks
May 1 @ UTA10 min0/ 0.500/ 0.52/ 1.51
Apr 29 vs UTA16 min1/ 0.501/ 0.52/ 1.51
Apr 27 @ UTA12 min0/ 0.500/ 0.51/ 2.50
Apr 24 @ UTA19 min0/ 0.500/ 0.52/ 2.51
Apr 21 vs UTA13 min0/ 0.500/ 0.51/ 2.50
Apr 19 vs UTA13 min1/ 0.501/ 0.54/ 2.50
Average, these 6 games0.30.00.32.00.5