ShadowCryptsPredictions

Results

Saturday, November 7

Every game that day, with the forecast and whether it called the winner.

84%called

16–3

16 of 19 winners called · 19 locked before the game

NBA: 6–1 · 86%
NHL: 10–2 · 83%

Last 30 game days

288–150 · 66% of winners called

Greener is more winners called. Each square opens that day.

Biggest upset · NBA

Suns beat Rockets 102–99

The forecast gave PHX 34%

Most confident call · NBA

Thunder at 81%

Called it: OKC 114, WSH 75

Comeback of the day · NHL

Devils came back

Down to 12% after P2, beat NYI 5–4

Standouts

Stephen Curry41 pointsNBA · GS · ORL @ GS
Isaiah Hartenstein14 reboundsNBA · OKC · WSH @ OKC
Day'Ron Sharpe13 assistsNBA · BKN · BKN @ ATL
Martin Necas4 pointsNHL · COL · DET @ COL
Nikita Kucherov9 shots on goalNHL · TB · TB @ MIN
Ilya Sorokin45 savesNHL · NYI · NJ @ NYI

The model's prop picks

Lines where our player model disagreed with the book by 10+ points, logged before each game and graded from the box score: the forward test of the props model. Overall they're 922–793 (+0.6% a bet) in the NBA, 70–66 (−8.5% a bet) in the NHL. A record, not tips. Full record →

NBA5–2 · +32.7% a bet

NHL3–1 · +44.4% a bet

Every game

Saturday, November 719 games

NHLFinalESPN+, MNMT, Scripps Sports

Panthers

9-6-2

Capitals

9-6-0

Pick WSH53%Toss-upHit

NHLFinalNHL Net, Scripps Sports, Blues App, BN+

Blues

7-8-2

Predators

8-4-5

Pick STL51%Toss-upMiss

NBAFinalNBA Mexico City Game

Nuggets

5-3

Pacers

3-7

Pick DEN74%StrongHit

NHLFinalESPN+, MSG, MSG2, KONG, Prime Video (Local)

Rangers

10-7-1

Kraken

9-6-1

Pick NYR51%Toss-upHit

Canadiens

11-3-3

Maple Leafs

8-8-2

Pick MTL51%Toss-upHit

NHLFinalNHL Net, Utah 16, Mammoth+

Mammoth

10-7-1

Senators

11-6-1

Pick OTT51%Toss-upHit

NHLFinal/OTESPN+, MSG2, MSGSN

Devils

12-5-0

Islanders

7-6-3

Pick NJ56%LeanHit

NBAFinalDAZN (YES)

Nets

2-7

Hawks

7-4

Pick ATL74%StrongHit

NBAFinalNBA TV, DAZN CLE

Knicks

5-4

Cavaliers

5-5

Pick NY60%LeanHit

NBAFinalMNMT, KSBI, Thunder App

Wizards

4-6

Thunder

8-2

Pick OKC81%StrongHit

NHLFinalESPN+, CHSN, CARNHL

Blackhawks

4-13-1

Hurricanes

14-3-2

Pick CAR77%StrongHit

NHLFinalESPN+, NBC Sports BA, Prime Video (Local)

Sharks

7-11-1

Stars

10-5-2

Pick DAL72%StrongHit

NHLFinal/OTESPN+, The Spot - MTN, MINNHL

Lightning

11-3-2

Wild

12-3-4

Pick TB54%Toss-upHit

Magic

2-7

Warriors

7-3

Pick GS65%SolidHit

NBAFinalArizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live

Rockets

7-3

Suns

3-5

Pick HOU66%SolidMiss

NHLFinalESPN+, DSN, Altitude Sports

Red Wings

7-8-3

Avalanche

10-6-2

Pick COL67%SolidHit

NHLFinalESPN+, ABTV

Penguins

6-9-2

Kings

5-8-2

Pick LA53%Toss-upMiss

NBAFinalKUNP 16, BlazerVision, DAZN SAS

Spurs

8-2

Trail Blazers

6-3

Pick SA66%SolidHit

Canucks

3-15-1

Oilers

12-3-3

Pick EDM76%StrongHit