Results
Tuesday, October 27
Every game that day, with the forecast and whether it called the winner.
8–8
8 of 16 winners called · 16 locked before the game
- NBA
- 3–1 · 75%
- MLB
- 0–1 · 0%
- NHL
- 5–6 · 45%
Last 30 game days
288–150 · 66% of winners called
Greener is more winners called. Each square opens that day.
Biggest upset · NHL
Canucks beat Ducks 6–5
The forecast gave VAN 36%
Most confident call · NBA
Spurs at 91%
Called it: SA 130, SAC 103
Comeback of the day · NHL
Canucks came back
Down to 2% after P2, beat ANA 6–5
Standouts
- Luka Doncic41 pointsNBA · LAL · POR @ LAL
- Karl-Anthony Towns20 reboundsNBA · NY · DET @ NY
- Deni Avdija9 assistsNBA · POR · POR @ LAL
- Matthew Tkachuk4 pointsNHL · FLA · FLA @ WPG
- Quinton Byfield6 shots on goalNHL · LA · LA @ CHI
- Jacob Fowler46 savesNHL · MTL · MTL @ STL
The model's prop picks
Lines where our player model disagreed with the book by 10+ points, logged before each game and graded from the box score: the forward test of the props model. Overall they're 922–793 (+0.6% a bet) in the NBA. A record, not tips. Full record →
NBA19–23 · −14.6% a bet
- Damian Lillard under 20.5 points21Miss
- Damian Lillard under 25.5 points + assists25Hit
- Damian Lillard under 29.5 points + rebounds + assists30Miss
- Damian Lillard under 24.5 points + rebounds26Miss
- Donovan Clingan under 21.5 points + rebounds + assists20Hit
- Donovan Clingan under 20.5 points + rebounds19Hit
- Donovan Clingan under 10.5 points9Hit
- Donovan Clingan under 11.5 points + assists10Hit
The 8 biggest disagreements of 42 graded.
Every game
Tuesday, October 2716 games
Blue Jackets
5-5-0
Flyers
3-7-4
Nets
0-4
Celtics
3-1
Pistons
3-1
Knicks
1-3
Kings
0-4
Spurs
2-2
Brewers
103-59
Rays
98-64
Bruins
9-3-1
Hurricanes
10-2-2
Kings
3-6-2
Blackhawks
4-8-0
Canadiens
7-3-2
Blues
5-6-1
Islanders
6-4-2
Predators
4-3-5
Devils
8-4-0
Stars
7-4-1
Panthers
7-4-2
Jets
4-5-3
Wild
9-3-2
Mammoth
8-5-0
Senators
8-5-0
Golden Knights
9-4-1
Canucks
3-10-1
Ducks
5-6-1
Sabres
5-4-3
Sharks
6-6-1
Trail Blazers
3-0
Lakers
3-1