Results
Monday, November 2
Every game that day, with the forecast and whether it called the winner.
11–9
11 of 20 winners called · 5 locked before the game
- NFL
- 0–1 · 0%
- NBA
- 10–5 · 67%
- NHL
- 1–3 · 25%
Last 30 game days
288–150 · 66% of winners called
Greener is more winners called. Each square opens that day.
Biggest upset · NBA
Kings beat Mavericks 115–100
The forecast gave SAC 28%
Most confident call · NBA
Spurs at 89%
Called it: SA 119, UTAH 97
Comeback of the day · NBA
Raptors came back
Down to 12% after Q3, beat LAC 125–118
Standouts
- Caleb Williams247 passing yardsNFL · CHI · CHI @ SEA
- D'Andre Swift69 rushing yardsNFL · CHI · CHI @ SEA
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba118 receiving yardsNFL · SEA · CHI @ SEA
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander43 pointsNBA · OKC · OKC @ CLE
- Donovan Clingan18 reboundsNBA · POR · POR @ DEN
- Luka Doncic13 assistsNBA · LAL · MIA @ LAL
- Mitch Marner2 pointsNHL · VGK · VGK @ BOS
- David Pastrnak7 shots on goalNHL · BOS · VGK @ BOS
- Dustin Wolf26 savesNHL · CGY · CGY @ SJ
The model's prop picks
Lines where our player model disagreed with the book by 10+ points, logged before each game and graded from the box score: the forward test of the props model. Overall they're 922–793 (+0.6% a bet) in the NBA. A record, not tips. Full record →
NBA46–58 · −17.2% a bet
- Khaman Maluach under 14.5 points + rebounds7Hit
- Khaman Maluach under 7.5 points5Hit
- Darius Garland over 6.5 assists8Hit
- Gradey Dick under 9.5 points12Miss
- Khaman Maluach under 7.5 rebounds2Hit
- Giannis Antetokounmpo under 36.5 points + assists37Miss
- Collin Murray-Boyles under 6.5 rebounds7Miss
- Dillon Brooks under 0.5 steals0Hit
The 8 biggest disagreements of 104 graded.
Games without a locked forecast are graded on what the model would have said beforehand, the same way as the backtest on the track record page.
Every game
Monday, November 220 games
Thunder
5-2
Cavaliers
4-3
Golden Knights
9-5-2
Bruins
11-4-1
Red Wings
7-5-3
Panthers
8-5-2
Pistons
6-1
Hornets
3-5
Hawks
4-4
Pacers
2-6
Nets
1-6
Knicks
3-4
Wizards
4-3
Magic
2-5
Bulls
1-6
76ers
7-1
Kings
1-6
Mavericks
4-3
Pelicans
3-4
Grizzlies
6-1
Bucks
1-6
Timberwolves
5-3
Avalanche
9-5-1
Blackhawks
4-10-1
Bears
6-2
Seahawks
4-4
Celtics
5-2
Rockets
7-1
Jazz
1-6
Spurs
5-2
Trail Blazers
5-1
Nuggets
3-3
Flames
7-8-0
Sharks
7-8-1
Suns
1-4
Warriors
5-3
Raptors
4-3
Clippers
1-6
Heat
2-5
Lakers
6-2