Nikola Jokic

33 min

Next: DEN @ MEM

Wed, Nov 11 · 8:00 PM ET. Over chances follow the book's number with its margin removed; our projection and model chance sit beside it.

Stat	Proj	L5	Line	L10	Over	Model
Points	22.9	24.0	26.5	3/10 games over this line	47%model: under	32%
Rebounds	11.5	11.0	11.5	5/10 games over this line	50%	46%
Assists	9.0	9.0	9.5	6/10 games over this line	47%	41%
Pts+Reb+Ast	43.3	44.0	48.5up from 47.5	4/10 games over this line	47%model: under	32%
Pts+Reb	34.4	35.0	38.5	4/10 games over this line	47%model: under	33%
Pts+Ast	31.9	33.0	36.5	3/10 games over this line	47%model: under	31%
Reb+Ast	20.4	20.0	21.5up from 20.5	4/10 games over this line	47%	40%

Any line

The chance he clears other lines next game, like the alternate lines books sell (25+ points and so on).

15+92%
20+77%
25+55%
Over 26.5DraftKings line47%
30+34%
35+19%
40+9%
45+4%

Any line

Read off the book's line and its chance, with how much this stat usually spreads around it. Checked on later games the fit never saw: lines put at about 17% went over 15% of the time in the NBA, 16% in the NHL and 14% in the NFL (overs ran a little short in that stretch, main lines included), and where the book posted alternate lines of its own, its prices and these chances were about even. Alternate lines carry no price here: enter your book's price on the parlay page.

Recent games

Newest first. Each stat next to the book's main line that game, where one is on file: green went over, red went under.

Bars are what he did; the dark tick is that game's line (green went over, red under); the dashed line is his next game's line.

Game	Role	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Pts+Reb+Ast	Pts+Reb
Nov 9 @ HOU	39 min	25/ 24.5	16/ 10.5	8/ 8.5	49/ 44.5	41/ 35.5
Nov 7 @ IND	36 min	19/ 26.5	13/ 11.5	8/ 9.5	40/ 49.5	32/ 39.5
Nov 4 vs TOR	30 min	32/ 25.5	10/ 11.5	11/ 9.5	53/ 47.5	42/ 37.5
Nov 2 vs POR	36 min	26/ 25.5	9/ 11.5	8/ 9.5	43/ 47.5	35/ 37.5
Oct 30 @ PHX	37 min	18/ 25.5	7/ 12.5	10/ 9.5	35/ 48.5	25/ 38.5
Oct 28 @ NO	34 min	21/ 27.5	13/ 12.5	10/ 9.5	44/ 50.5	34/ 40.5
Oct 26 vs GS	35 min	19/ 26.5	7/ 11.5	11/ 9.5	37/ 48.5	26/ 38.5
Oct 24 vs NO	44 min	35/ 26.5	15/ 12.5	10/ 10.5	60/ 50.5	50/ 40.5
Oct 22 @ OKC	35 min	13/ 24.5	7/ 12.5	5/ 9.5	25/ 46.5	20/ 36.5
Apr 27 vs MIN	38 min	27/ 30.5	12/ 13.5	16/ 9.5	55/ 54.5	39
Apr 25 @ MIN	41 min	24/ 29.5	15	9/ 9.5	48/ 53.5	39/ 43.5
Apr 23 @ MIN	35 min	27/ 30.5	15/ 13.5	3/ 9.5	45/ 55.5	42/ 44.5
This season, 9 games		23.1	10.8	9.0	42.9	33.9
Average, these 12 games		23.8	11.6	9.1	44.5	35.4

Against the line in these games: Points over 4 of 12 · Rebounds over 5 of 11 · Assists over 5 of 12 · Pts+Reb+Ast over 4 of 12 · Pts+Reb over 3 of 11. A handful of games says little: books move the line to his recent form, which is why streaks like these rarely carry on.

Splits

What he's averaged, cut a few ways: a description of past games, not a forecast. Home and road cover this season and last, leaving out neutral sites.

Split	Games	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Pts+Reb+Ast	Pts+Reb
This season	9	23.1	10.8	9.0	42.9	33.9
Last season	70	27.5	12.9	10.6	51.1	40.5
Last 10	10	23.5	10.9	9.7	44.1	34.4
At home	40	27.5	12.4	11.1	51.0	39.9
On the road	38	26.7	13.0	9.8	49.5	39.7

Against Grizzlies

His last 6 games against his next opponent, newest first, back through the seasons on file. A few games against one team is a small sample, and rosters change between seasons.

Game	Role	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Pts+Reb+Ast	Pts+Reb
Apr 8 vs MEM	31 min	14	16	10	40	30
Mar 18 @ MEM	39 min	29	14	9	52	43
Feb 11 vs MEM	34 min	26	15	11	52	41
Nov 24 @ MEM	34 min	17/ 31.5	10/ 12.5	16/ 10.5	43/ 53.5	27/ 43.5
Apr 11 vs MEM	41 min	26/ 30.5	16/ 12.5	13	55/ 52.5	42/ 42.5
Apr 14 @ MEM	31 min	15	15	5	35	30
Average, these 6 games		21.2	14.3	10.7	46.2	35.5