NBA · 2026-27
Denver Nuggets
5-4 · #11 of 30 by Elo
Elo rating
1542
#11 of 30 · 1500 is average
Market rating
1549
#11 of 30 by recent lines
This season
−29
Elo change since opening night
Forecasts on their games
78%
7–2 this season
Offense
+1.9 pts
#7 of 30 · scored a game above average
Defense
0.0 pts
#15 of 30 · allowed a game below average
By the numbers
This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are. Home and road leave out their neutral-site game.
- Points scored
- 113.6
- 15th of 30
- Points allowed
- 112.8
- 13th fewest of 30
- Margin
- +0.8
- 17th of 30
- Offense rating
- 114.1
- 9th of 30
- Defense rating
- 113.3
- 23rd of 30
- Pace
- 98.2
- 27th of 30
- At home
- 2–2
- 14th of 30
- On the road
- 2–2
- 13th of 30
- Opponent Elo
- 1508
- 14th toughest of 30
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026-27 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works
Projected record
46-36
Now 5-4 · middle 80%: 40–52 wins
Make the playoffs
82%
Play-in: 56%
About 41 wins usually gets them in
Reach the NBA Finals
1%
Win it all
<1%
In 20 of 10,000 simulations
Playoff chances this season
Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 82%.
Upcoming
Forecasts for their next games. Their next 5 opponents average 1522 Elo, the 9th-toughest stretch of the league's 30.
Nuggets
5-4
Grizzlies
7-3
Nuggets
5-4
Pelicans
4-7
Suns
4-6
Nuggets
5-4
Celtics
9-2
Nuggets
5-4
Rockets
8-3
Nuggets
5-4
Nuggets
5-4
Bulls
1-8
Players
Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.
Rating history
Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.
Against the line
This season, against each game's closing spread and total.
- Against the spread
- 3–5
- Last 10
- 3–5
- As the favorite
- 3–3
- As the underdog
- 0–2
- Overs–unders
- 4–4
- Overs–unders, last 10
- 4–4
Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.
Recent results
Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.
Last 10, oldest first: L L W L W W L W W L
- L
@ HOU 100–110Picked HOU 74%Nov 9Hit - W
@ IND 114–102Picked DEN 74%Nov 7Hit - W
vs TOR 128–109Picked DEN 63%Nov 4Hit - L
vs POR 110–118Picked DEN 61%Nov 2Miss - W
@ PHX 127–120Picked DEN 62%Oct 30Hit - W
@ NO 104–91Picked DEN 62%Oct 28Hit - L
vs GS 114–134Picked DEN 70%Oct 26Miss - Wvs NO 141–135Picked DEN 80%Oct 24Hit
- L
@ OKC 84–96Picked OKC 74%Oct 22Hit - L
@ MIN 98–110Picked DEN 73%Apr 30Miss
Injury report
Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.
Julian Strawther G
OutStrawther (knee) was diagnosed with a left knee sprain Friday and will be re-evaluated in six weeks, Vinny Benedetto of The Denver Gazette reports.