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NHL · Calgary Flames

Simon Nemec

21 min

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Next: NYR @ CGY

. Over chances follow the book's number with its margin removed; our projection and model chance sit beside it.

StatProjLineL10OverParlay
Points0.30.53/10 games over this line32%
Assists0.20.53/10 games over this line26%
Shots on goal1.41.55/10 games over this line43%

Any line

The chance he clears other lines next game, like the alternate lines books sell (25+ points and so on).

  • Over 0.5DraftKings line32%
  • 2+6%

Read off the book's line and its chance, with how much this stat usually spreads around it. Checked on later games the fit never saw: lines put at about 17% went over 15% of the time in the NBA, 16% in the NHL and 14% in the NFL (overs ran a little short in that stretch, main lines included), and where the book posted alternate lines of its own, its prices and these chances were about even. Alternate lines carry no price here: enter your book's price on the parlay page.

Recent games

Newest first. Each stat next to the book's main line that game, where one is on file: green went over, red went under.

0120Oct 15@ VGK0Oct 18vs CAR0Oct 22vs MIN0Oct 24vs DET2Oct 26vs TOR0Oct 28@ EDM0Oct 30vs SEA0Oct 31@ COL0Nov 2@ SJ0Nov 4@ SEA1Nov 6vs ANA1Nov 8vs PHI- - Next line 0.5

Bars are what he did; the dark tick is that game's line (green went over, red under); the dashed line is his next game's line.

GameRolePointsAssistsShots on goalBlocks
Nov 8 vs PHI22 min1/ 0.51/ 0.50/ 1.52
Nov 6 vs ANA20 min1/ 0.51/ 0.52/ 1.53
Nov 4 @ SEA22 min0/ 0.50/ 0.54/ 1.53
Nov 2 @ SJ17 min0/ 0.50/ 0.52/ 1.51
Oct 31 @ COL23 min0/ 0.50/ 0.511
Oct 30 vs SEA21 min0/ 0.50/ 0.53/ 1.50
Oct 28 @ EDM24 min0/ 0.50/ 0.501
Oct 26 vs TOR22 min2/ 0.52/ 0.51/ 1.50
Oct 24 vs DET22 min0/ 0.50/ 0.50/ 1.50
Oct 22 vs MIN22 min0/ 0.50/ 0.52/ 1.53
Oct 18 vs CAR22 min0/ 0.50/ 0.51/ 1.51
Oct 15 @ VGK21 min0/ 0.50/ 0.531
Average, these 12 games0.30.31.61.3

Against the line in these games: Points over 3 of 12 · Assists over 3 of 12 · Shots on goal over 5 of 9. A handful of games says little: books move the line to his recent form, which is why streaks like these rarely carry on.

Splits

What he's averaged, cut a few ways: a description of past games, not a forecast. Home and road cover this season, leaving out neutral sites.

SplitGamesPointsAssistsShots on goalBlocks
This season180.40.41.61.3
Last season680.40.21.51.5
Last 10100.40.41.51.4
At home100.50.51.51.4
On the road80.30.31.81.1

Against Rangers

His last 6 games against his next opponent, newest first, back through the seasons on file. A few games against one team is a small sample, and rosters change between seasons.

GameRolePointsAssistsShots on goalBlocks
Mar 31 @ NYR23 min0000
Mar 18 @ NYR19 min1111
Mar 7 vs NYR20 min0020
Apr 3 @ NYR26 min0000
Mar 11 @ NYR23 min1035
Feb 22 vs NYR19 min0031
Average, these 6 games0.30.21.51.2