Next: NYR @ CGY
. Over chances follow the book's number with its margin removed; our projection and model chance sit beside it.
| Stat | Proj | L5 | Line | L10 | Over | Model | Parlay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 0.4 | 0.6 | — | — | — | — | No line |
| Assists | 0.2 | 0.4 | — | — | — | — | No line |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2/10 games over this line | 50% | 44% |
Any line
The chance he clears other lines next game, like the alternate lines books sell (25+ points and so on).
- 1+81%
- Over 1.5DraftKings line50%
- 3+25%
- 4+11%
- 5+4%
Read off the book's line and its chance, with how much this stat usually spreads around it. Checked on later games the fit never saw: lines put at about 17% went over 15% of the time in the NBA, 16% in the NHL and 14% in the NFL (overs ran a little short in that stretch, main lines included), and where the book posted alternate lines of its own, its prices and these chances were about even. Alternate lines carry no price here: enter your book's price on the parlay page.
Recent games
Newest first. Each stat next to the book's main line that game, where one is on file: green went over, red went under.
Bars are what he did; the dark tick is that game's line (green went over, red under); the dashed line is his next game's line.
| Game | Role | Points | Goals | Assists | Shots on goal | Blocks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 vs PHI | 19 min | 2/ 0.5 | 0 | 2/ 0.5 | 0/ 1.5 | 0 |
| Nov 6 vs ANA | 11 min | 0/ 0.5 | 0 | 0/ 0.5 | 0/ 1.5 | 0 |
| Nov 4 @ SEA | 16 min | 1/ 0.5 | 1 | 0/ 0.5 | 1/ 1.5 | 0 |
| Nov 2 @ SJ | 17 min | 0/ 0.5 | 0 | 0/ 0.5 | 2/ 1.5 | 0 |
| Oct 31 @ COL | 18 min | 0/ 0.5 | 0 | 0/ 0.5 | 3 | 1 |
| Oct 30 vs SEA | 17 min | 0/ 0.5 | 0 | 0/ 0.5 | 1 | 1 |
| Oct 28 @ EDM | 12 min | 0/ 0.5 | 0 | 0/ 0.5 | 1/ 1.5 | 0 |
| Oct 26 vs TOR | 17 min | 0/ 0.5 | 0 | 0/ 0.5 | 1/ 1.5 | 0 |
| Oct 24 vs DET | 13 min | 0/ 0.5 | 0 | 0/ 0.5 | 0/ 1.5 | 2 |
| Oct 22 vs MIN | 18 min | 0/ 0.5 | 0 | 0/ 0.5 | 1/ 1.5 | 0 |
| Oct 18 vs CAR | 17 min | 1/ 0.5 | 1 | 0/ 0.5 | 6/ 1.5 | 0 |
| Oct 15 @ VGK | 12 min | 0/ 0.5 | 0 | 0/ 0.5 | 1/ 1.5 | 0 |
| Average, these 12 games | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 0.3 | |
Against the line in these games: Points over 3 of 12 · Assists over 1 of 12 · Shots on goal over 2 of 10. A handful of games says little: books move the line to his recent form, which is why streaks like these rarely carry on.
Splits
What he's averaged, cut a few ways: a description of past games, not a forecast. Home and road cover this season, leaving out neutral sites.
| Split | Games | Points | Goals | Assists | Shots on goal | Blocks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | 18 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| Last season | 78 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| At home | 10 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 0.3 |
| On the road | 8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
Against Rangers
His last 6 games against his next opponent, newest first, back through the seasons on file. A few games against one team is a small sample, and rosters change between seasons.
| Game | Role | Points | Goals | Assists | Shots on goal | Blocks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10 @ NYR | 17 min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Oct 26 vs NYR | 16 min | 1 | 1/ 0.5 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Mar 18 @ NYR | 15 min | 0/ 0.5 | 0/ 0.5 | 0/ 0.5 | 1 | 0 |
| Nov 21 vs NYR | 17 min | 2/ 0.5 | 1/ 0.5 | 1/ 0.5 | 4 | 0 |
| Feb 12 @ NYR | 17 min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Oct 24 vs NYR | 15 min | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Average, these 6 games | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | |