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NFL · Pittsburgh Steelers

Jaylen Warren

RB · 14.3 carries

ActiveWarren rushed 17 times for 143 yards and a touchdown and brought in one of two targets for no gain in the Steelers' 27-6 win over the Browns on Sunday. He also fumbled once but recovered.

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Next: PIT @ CIN

. Over chances follow the book's number with its margin removed; our projection and model chance sit beside it.

StatProjLineL10OverParlay
Rush yds83.161.56/10 games over this line52%*
Carries14.313.57/10 games over this line50%*
Rec yds28.125.58/10 games over this line49%*
Receptions2.53.53/10 games over this line47%*
Rush+Rec yds111.291.56/10 games over this line51%*

Any line

The chance he clears other lines next game, like the alternate lines books sell (25+ points and so on).

  • 25+94%
  • 50+67%
  • Over 61.5DraftKings line52%
  • 75+37%
  • 100+17%
  • 125+7%

Read off the book's line and its chance, with how much this stat usually spreads around it. Checked on later games the fit never saw: lines put at about 17% went over 15% of the time in the NBA, 16% in the NHL and 14% in the NFL (overs ran a little short in that stretch, main lines included), and where the book posted alternate lines of its own, its prices and these chances were about even. Alternate lines carry no price here: enter your book's price on the parlay page.

Recent games

Newest first. Each stat next to the book's main line that game, where one is on file: green went over, red went under.

080160143Dec 21@ DET64Dec 28@ CLE66Jan 4vs BAL43Jan 12vs HOU46Sep 13vs ATL43Sep 20@ NE127Sep 27vs CIN93Oct 1@ CLE101Oct 11vs IND50Oct 18@ TB101Oct 25@ NO143Nov 1vs CLE- - Next line 61.5

Bars are what he did; the dark tick is that game's line (green went over, red under); the dashed line is his next game's line.

GameRoleRush ydsCarriesRec ydsReceptionsRush+Rec yds
Nov 1 vs CLE2 targets, 17 carries1431701143
Oct 25 @ NO4 targets, 18 carries10118363137
Oct 18 @ TB4 targets, 14 carries501428278
Oct 11 vs IND6 targets, 15 carries10115876188
Oct 1 @ CLE6 targets, 17 carries9317333126
Sep 27 vs CIN4 targets, 17 carries12717493176
Sep 20 @ NE4 targets, 11 carries431134277
Sep 13 vs ATL6 targets, 10 carries461027573
Jan 12 vs HOU1 targets, 12 carries43124147
Jan 4 vs BAL5 targets, 14 carries661433599
Dec 28 @ CLE12 carries64120064
Dec 21 @ DET2 targets, 14 carries1431482151
This season, 8 games88.014.936.83.1124.8
Average, these 12 games85.014.328.32.8113.3

Splits

What he's averaged, cut a few ways: a description of past games, not a forecast. Home and road cover this season and last, leaving out neutral sites.

SplitGamesRush ydsCarriesRec ydsReceptionsRush+Rec yds
This season888.014.936.83.1124.8
Last season1758.913.119.82.478.7
Last 101081.314.533.13.1114.4
At home1365.313.225.82.991.1
On the road1168.613.923.62.392.3

Against Bengals

His last 6 games against his next opponent, newest first, back through the seasons on file. A few games against one team is a small sample, and rosters change between seasons.

GameRoleRush ydsCarriesRec ydsReceptionsRush+Rec yds
Sep 27 vs CIN4 targets, 17 carries12717493176
Nov 16 vs CIN2 targets, 10 carries62/ 81.510/ 17.55/ 16.5267/ 102.5
Oct 16 @ CIN5 targets, 16 carries127/ 49.51631/ 20.54/ 2.5158/ 74.5
Jan 4 vs CIN1 targets, 6 carries21/ 39.56/ 9.500/ 2.521/ 65.5
Dec 1 @ CIN4 targets, 3 carries9/ 39.53/ 9.5554/ 2.564/ 56.5
Dec 23 vs CIN6 targets, 8 carries24830554
Average, these 6 games61.710.028.33.090.0