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NFL power rankings

Elo rating

1573

#12 of 32 · 1500 is average

Market rating

1482

#19 of 32 by recent lines

This season

+72

Elo change since opening night

Forecasts on their games

75%

6–2 this season

Offense

−0.5 pts

#19 of 32 · scored a game above average

Defense

+1.2 pts

#7 of 32 · allowed a game below average

By the numbers

This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are. Home and road leave out their neutral-site game.

Points scored
22.5
17th of 32
Points allowed
18.0
4th fewest of 32
Margin
+4.5
7th of 32
Yards per play
5.19
20th of 32
Yards allowed per play
4.98
6th of 32
At home
4–0
1st of 32
On the road
1–2
23rd of 32
Opponent Elo
1469
28th toughest of 32

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works

Projected record

11-6

Now 6-2 · middle 80%: 9–13 wins

Make the playoffs

86%

Division: 33% · Top seed: 3%
About 10 wins usually gets them in

Reach the Super Bowl

6%

Win it all

3%

In 274 of 10,000 simulations

Playoff chances this season

Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 86%.

0%50%100%Nov 3Nov 11

Upcoming

Forecasts for their next games. Their next 3 opponents average 1539 Elo, the 9th-toughest stretch of the league's 32.

Players

Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.

Rating history

Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.

Steelers
1450150015501600league averageSepDecMarJunSep

Against the line

This season, against each game's closing spread and total.

Against the spread
6–2
Last 10
6–2
As the favorite
5–1
As the underdog
1–1
Overs–unders
4–4
Overs–unders, last 10
4–4

Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.

Recent results

Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.

Injury report

Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.

  • Ben Skowronek WR

    Questionable

    questionable

  • Doneiko Slaughter CB

    Questionable

    questionable

  • Brandin Echols CB

    Questionable

    questionable

  • Chris Boswell PK

    Active

    Boswell made two of his three field-goal attempts and all three PATs in the Steelers' 27-6 win over the Browns on Sunday.

  • Will Howard QB

    Active
  • Drew Allar QB

    Active
  • Eli Heidenreich RB

    Active
  • Michael Pittman Jr. WR

    Injured Reserve

    Pittman (foot) said Monday that he resumed running last week as part of a program to return, but the wideout acknowledged that he's without a clear timeline to be activated from injured reserve, Ray Fittipaldo of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports.

  • Germie Bernard WR

    Active

    Bernard caught all five of his targets for 30 yards during Sunday's 27-6 win against Cleveland.

  • Pat Freiermuth TE

    Active

    Freiermuth caught both of his targets for 35 yards in Sunday's 27-6 win over the Browns. He added one rushing attempt for a one-yard touchdown.

  • Darnell Washington TE

    Active

    Washington caught three of five targets for 94 yards during Sunday's 27-6 win over the Browns.

  • Rico Dowdle RB

    Active

    Dowdle rushed 15 times for 56 yards and a touchdown in the Steelers' 27-6 win over the Browns on Sunday.

  • DK Metcalf WR

    Active

    Metcalf brought in one of six targets for four yards in the Steelers' 27-6 win over the Browns on Sunday.

  • Aaron Rodgers QB

    Active

    Rodgers completed 13 of 25 passes for 172 yards with no touchdowns and one interception in the Steelers' 27-6 win over the Browns on Sunday.

  • Jaylen Warren RB

    Active

    Warren rushed 17 times for 143 yards and a touchdown and brought in one of two targets for no gain in the Steelers' 27-6 win over the Browns on Sunday. He also fumbled once but recovered.

  • Brandon Smith WR

    Active

    The Steelers signed Smith off the practice squad to the active roster Saturday, Teresa Varley of the team's official site reports.

  • Alex Highsmith LB

    Active
  • Jalen Ramsey CB

    Active
  • Payton Wilson LB

    Active

    Wilson totaled six tackles (three solo) and an interception during Pittsburgh's win over the Saints on Sunday.

  • Patrick Queen LB

    Active

    Queen compiled 10 tackles (seven solo), including 1.0 sacks, during Pittsburgh's win over the Saints on Sunday.