
NFL · 2026
Pittsburgh Steelers
6-2 · #12 of 32 by Elo
Elo rating
1573
#12 of 32 · 1500 is average
Market rating
1482
#19 of 32 by recent lines
This season
+72
Elo change since opening night
Forecasts on their games
75%
6–2 this season
Offense
−0.5 pts
#19 of 32 · scored a game above average
Defense
+1.2 pts
#7 of 32 · allowed a game below average
By the numbers
This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are. Home and road leave out their neutral-site game.
- Points scored
- 22.5
- 17th of 32
- Points allowed
- 18.0
- 4th fewest of 32
- Margin
- +4.5
- 7th of 32
- Yards per play
- 5.19
- 20th of 32
- Yards allowed per play
- 4.98
- 6th of 32
- At home
- 4–0
- 1st of 32
- On the road
- 1–2
- 23rd of 32
- Opponent Elo
- 1469
- 28th toughest of 32
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works
Projected record
11-6
Now 6-2 · middle 80%: 9–13 wins
Make the playoffs
86%
Division: 33% · Top seed: 3%
About 10 wins usually gets them in
Reach the Super Bowl
6%
Win it all
3%
In 274 of 10,000 simulations
Playoff chances this season
Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 86%.
Upcoming
Forecasts for their next games. Their next 3 opponents average 1539 Elo, the 9th-toughest stretch of the league's 32.
Players
Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.
Rating history
Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.
Against the line
This season, against each game's closing spread and total.
- Against the spread
- 6–2
- Last 10
- 6–2
- As the favorite
- 5–1
- As the underdog
- 1–1
- Overs–unders
- 4–4
- Overs–unders, last 10
- 4–4
Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.
Recent results
Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.
Last 10, oldest first: W L W L W L W W W W
- W
vs CLE 27–6Picked PIT 63%Nov 1Hit - W
@ NO 16–10Picked PIT 60%Oct 25Hit - W
@ TB 26–19Picked PIT 58%Oct 18Hit - W
vs IND 34–22Picked PIT 59%Oct 11Hit - L
@ CLE 24–27Picked PIT 57%Oct 1Miss - W
vs CIN 30–27Picked CIN 62%Sep 27Miss - L
@ NE 3–20Picked NE 66%Sep 20Hit - W
vs ATL 20–13Picked PIT 72%Sep 13Hit - L
vs HOU 6–30Picked HOU 59%Jan 12Hit - W
vs BAL 26–24Picked BAL 64%Jan 4Miss
Injury report
Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.
Ben Skowronek WR
Questionablequestionable
Doneiko Slaughter CB
Questionablequestionable
Brandin Echols CB
Questionablequestionable
Chris Boswell PK
ActiveBoswell made two of his three field-goal attempts and all three PATs in the Steelers' 27-6 win over the Browns on Sunday.
Will Howard QB
ActiveDrew Allar QB
ActiveEli Heidenreich RB
ActiveMichael Pittman Jr. WR
Injured ReservePittman (foot) said Monday that he resumed running last week as part of a program to return, but the wideout acknowledged that he's without a clear timeline to be activated from injured reserve, Ray Fittipaldo of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports.
Germie Bernard WR
ActiveBernard caught all five of his targets for 30 yards during Sunday's 27-6 win against Cleveland.
Pat Freiermuth TE
ActiveFreiermuth caught both of his targets for 35 yards in Sunday's 27-6 win over the Browns. He added one rushing attempt for a one-yard touchdown.
Darnell Washington TE
ActiveWashington caught three of five targets for 94 yards during Sunday's 27-6 win over the Browns.
Rico Dowdle RB
ActiveDowdle rushed 15 times for 56 yards and a touchdown in the Steelers' 27-6 win over the Browns on Sunday.
DK Metcalf WR
ActiveMetcalf brought in one of six targets for four yards in the Steelers' 27-6 win over the Browns on Sunday.
Aaron Rodgers QB
ActiveRodgers completed 13 of 25 passes for 172 yards with no touchdowns and one interception in the Steelers' 27-6 win over the Browns on Sunday.
Jaylen Warren RB
ActiveWarren rushed 17 times for 143 yards and a touchdown and brought in one of two targets for no gain in the Steelers' 27-6 win over the Browns on Sunday. He also fumbled once but recovered.
Brandon Smith WR
ActiveThe Steelers signed Smith off the practice squad to the active roster Saturday, Teresa Varley of the team's official site reports.
Alex Highsmith LB
ActiveJalen Ramsey CB
ActivePayton Wilson LB
ActiveWilson totaled six tackles (three solo) and an interception during Pittsburgh's win over the Saints on Sunday.
Patrick Queen LB
ActiveQueen compiled 10 tackles (seven solo), including 1.0 sacks, during Pittsburgh's win over the Saints on Sunday.