NFL · Buffalo Bills
Dalton Kincaid
WR/TE · 4.4 targets
ActiveKincaid secured all three targets for 28 yards in the Bills' 23-6 win over the Vikings on Monday night.
Next: BUF @ NYJ
. Over chances follow the book's number with its margin removed; our projection and model chance sit beside it.
| Stat | Proj | L5 | Line | L10 | Over | Model | Parlay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rush yds | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | No line |
| Carries | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | No line |
| Rec yds | 42.6 | 33.2 | 41.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 49%* | 42% | |
| Receptions | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 5/10 games over this line | 49%* | 42% | |
| Rush+Rec yds | 42.6 | 33.2 | — | — | — | — | No line |
Any line
The chance he clears other lines next game, like the alternate lines books sell (25+ points and so on).
- 25+74%
- Over 41.5DraftKings line49%
- 50+39%
- 75+18%
- 100+7%
Read off the book's line and its chance, with how much this stat usually spreads around it. Checked on later games the fit never saw: lines put at about 17% went over 15% of the time in the NBA, 16% in the NHL and 14% in the NFL (overs ran a little short in that stretch, main lines included), and where the book posted alternate lines of its own, its prices and these chances were about even. Alternate lines carry no price here: enter your book's price on the parlay page.
Recent games
Newest first. Each stat next to the book's main line that game, where one is on file: green went over, red went under.
Bars are what he did; the dark tick is that game's line (green went over, red under); the dashed line is his next game's line.
| Game | Role | Rec yds | Receptions | Rush+Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 @ MIN | 3 targets, 0 carries | 28 | 3 | 28 |
| Nov 1 vs BAL | 6 targets, 0 carries | 86 | 4 | 86 |
| Oct 18 @ LV | 8 targets, 0 carries | 38 | 7 | 38 |
| Oct 12 @ LAR | 2 targets, 0 carries | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| Oct 4 vs NE | 2 targets, 0 carries | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| Sep 27 vs LAC | 3 targets, 0 carries | 38 | 2 | 38 |
| Sep 17 vs DET | 8 targets, 0 carries | 95 | 7 | 95 |
| Sep 13 @ HOU | 6 targets, 0 carries | 130 | 5 | 130 |
| Jan 17 @ DEN | 6 targets, 0 carries | 83 | 6 | 83 |
| Jan 11 @ JAX | 5 targets, 0 carries | 28 | 3 | 28 |
| Jan 4 vs NYJ | 3 targets, 0 carries | 48 | 3 | 48 |
| Dec 21 @ CLE | 1 targets, 0 carries | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| This season, 8 games | 53.6 | 3.8 | 53.6 | |
| Average, these 12 games | 49.0 | 3.5 | 49.0 | |
Splits
What he's averaged, cut a few ways: a description of past games, not a forecast. Home and road cover this season and last, leaving out neutral sites.
| Split | Games | Rec yds | Receptions | Rush+Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | 8 | 53.6 | 3.8 | 53.6 |
| Last season | 14 | 48.7 | 3.4 | 48.7 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 54.0 | 3.9 | 54.0 |
| At home | 11 | 60.5 | 3.9 | 60.5 |
| On the road | 11 | 40.5 | 3.2 | 40.5 |
Against Jets
His last 6 games against his next opponent, newest first, back through the seasons on file. A few games against one team is a small sample, and rosters change between seasons.
| Game | Role | Rec yds | Receptions | Rush+Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4 vs NYJ | 3 targets, 0 carries | 48 | 3 | 48 |
| Sep 14 @ NYJ | 6 targets, 0 carries | 37/ 29.5 | 4 | 37 |
| Dec 29 vs NYJ | 2 targets, 0 carries | 24/ 34.5 | 2/ 3.5 | 24 |
| Oct 14 @ NYJ | 7 targets, 0 carries | 51/ 39.5 | 6 | 51 |
| Nov 19 vs NYJ | 7 targets, 0 carries | 46 | 6 | 46 |
| Sep 11 @ NYJ | 4 targets, 0 carries | 26 | 4 | 26 |
| Average, these 6 games | 38.7 | 4.2 | 38.7 | |