Skip to content
ShadowCryptsPredictions
Live
All player props

NHL · Pittsburgh Penguins

Tommy Novak

15 min

Compare

Next: PIT @ SJ

. Over chances follow the book's number with its margin removed; our projection and model chance sit beside it.

StatProjLineL10OverParlay
Points0.50.55/10 games over this line45%
Assists0.30.54/10 games over this line31%
Shots on goal1.51.55/10 games over this line53%model: under

Any line

The chance he clears other lines next game, like the alternate lines books sell (25+ points and so on).

  • Over 0.5DraftKings line45%
  • 2+12%

Read off the book's line and its chance, with how much this stat usually spreads around it. Checked on later games the fit never saw: lines put at about 17% went over 15% of the time in the NBA, 16% in the NHL and 14% in the NFL (overs ran a little short in that stretch, main lines included), and where the book posted alternate lines of its own, its prices and these chances were about even. Alternate lines carry no price here: enter your book's price on the parlay page.

Recent games

Newest first. Each stat next to the book's main line that game, where one is on file: green went over, red went under.

0120Oct 13@ CHI0Oct 16@ COL2Oct 17@ VGK1Oct 19@ UTA0Oct 22vs FLA0Oct 24vs NSH0Oct 29vs UTA2Oct 31@ MTL2Nov 3vs VGK0Nov 5vs BOS2Nov 7@ LA0Nov 8@ ANA- - Next line 0.5

Bars are what he did; the dark tick is that game's line (green went over, red under); the dashed line is his next game's line.

GameRolePointsGoalsAssistsShots on goalBlocks
Nov 8 @ ANA13 min0/ 0.500/ 0.53/ 1.50
Nov 7 @ LA15 min2/ 0.520/ 0.52/ 1.51
Nov 5 vs BOS17 min0/ 0.500/ 0.50/ 1.50
Nov 3 vs VGK19 min2/ 0.511/ 0.55/ 1.50
Oct 31 @ MTL18 min2/ 0.511/ 1.53/ 1.50
Oct 29 vs UTA17 min0/ 0.500/ 0.51/ 1.50
Oct 24 vs NSH20 min0/ 0.500/ 0.52/ 1.50
Oct 22 vs FLA17 min0/ 0.500/ 0.50/ 1.50
Oct 19 @ UTA13 min1/ 0.501/ 0.511
Oct 17 @ VGK13 min20210
Oct 16 @ COL15 min0/ 0.500/ 0.54/ 1.51
Oct 13 @ CHI17 min0/ 0.500/ 0.50/ 1.50
Average, these 12 games0.80.30.41.80.3

Against the line in these games: Points over 4 of 11 · Assists over 2 of 11 · Shots on goal over 6 of 10. A handful of games says little: books move the line to his recent form, which is why streaks like these rarely carry on.

Splits

What he's averaged, cut a few ways: a description of past games, not a forecast. Home and road cover this season, leaving out neutral sites.

SplitGamesPointsGoalsAssistsShots on goalBlocks
This season180.80.40.41.80.6
Last season880.50.20.31.60.4
Last 10100.90.40.51.80.2
At home80.60.40.31.80.3
On the road100.90.40.51.80.8

Against Sharks

His last 6 games against his next opponent, newest first, back through the seasons on file. A few games against one team is a small sample, and rosters change between seasons.

GameRolePointsGoalsAssistsShots on goalBlocks
Dec 13 vs SJ13 min00022
Oct 18 @ SJ11 min00/ 0.5011
Jan 23 @ SJ12 min21/ 0.5130
Jan 21 vs SJ13 min31/ 0.5220
Mar 19 vs SJ16 min11010
Feb 24 @ SJ15 min10111
Average, these 6 games1.20.50.71.70.7