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NHL · Calgary Flames

Mikael Backlund

19 min

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Next: NYR @ CGY

. Over chances follow the book's number with its margin removed; our projection and model chance sit beside it.

StatProjLineL10OverParlay
Points0.40.53/10 games over this line37%

Any line

The chance he clears other lines next game, like the alternate lines books sell (25+ points and so on).

  • Over 0.5DraftKings line37%
  • 2+8%

Read off the book's line and its chance, with how much this stat usually spreads around it. Checked on later games the fit never saw: lines put at about 17% went over 15% of the time in the NBA, 16% in the NHL and 14% in the NFL (overs ran a little short in that stretch, main lines included), and where the book posted alternate lines of its own, its prices and these chances were about even. Alternate lines carry no price here: enter your book's price on the parlay page.

Recent games

Newest first. Each stat next to the book's main line that game, where one is on file: green went over, red went under.

0110Oct 10vs ANA1Oct 13@ ANA0Oct 15@ VGK0Oct 18vs CAR1Oct 26vs TOR0Oct 28@ EDM1Oct 30vs SEA1Oct 31@ COL0Nov 2@ SJ0Nov 4@ SEA0Nov 6vs ANA0Nov 8vs PHI- - Next line 0.5

Bars are what he did; the dark tick is that game's line (green went over, red under); the dashed line is his next game's line.

GameRolePointsGoalsAssistsShots on goalBlocks
Nov 8 vs PHI19 min0/ 0.500/ 0.51/ 2.51
Nov 6 vs ANA20 min0/ 0.500/ 0.52/ 1.51
Nov 4 @ SEA19 min0/ 0.500/ 0.51/ 2.50
Nov 2 @ SJ21 min0/ 0.500/ 0.54/ 2.52
Oct 31 @ COL19 min1015/ 1.50
Oct 30 vs SEA18 min1/ 0.501/ 0.51/ 2.50
Oct 28 @ EDM19 min0/ 0.500/ 0.52/ 1.50
Oct 26 vs TOR19 min1/ 0.510/ 0.511
Oct 18 vs CAR14 min0/ 0.500/ 0.52/ 2.50
Oct 15 @ VGK19 min0/ 0.500/ 0.51/ 1.50
Oct 13 @ ANA21 min1/ 0.501/ 0.53/ 1.50
Oct 10 vs ANA19 min0/ 0.500/ 0.51/ 2.52
Average, these 12 games0.30.10.32.00.6

Against the line in these games: Points over 3 of 11 · Assists over 2 of 11 · Shots on goal over 5 of 11. A handful of games says little: books move the line to his recent form, which is why streaks like these rarely carry on.

Splits

What he's averaged, cut a few ways: a description of past games, not a forecast. Home and road cover this season, leaving out neutral sites.

SplitGamesPointsGoalsAssistsShots on goalBlocks
This season160.30.10.22.60.5
Last season820.50.20.32.30.3
Last 10100.30.10.22.00.5
At home80.40.30.12.10.6
On the road80.30.00.33.00.4

Against Rangers

His last 5 games against his next opponent, newest first, back through the seasons on file. A few games against one team is a small sample, and rosters change between seasons.

GameRolePointsGoalsAssistsShots on goalBlocks
Mar 10 @ NYR16 min00010
Oct 26 vs NYR17 min2/ 0.50/ 0.52/ 0.51/ 1.50
Nov 21 vs NYR18 min0/ 0.50/ 0.50/ 0.561
Feb 12 @ NYR18 min00010
Oct 24 vs NYR21 min10100
Average, these 5 games0.60.00.61.80.2