NFL · 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars
6-2 · #5 of 32 by Elo
Elo rating
1642
#5 of 32 · 1500 is average
Market rating
1625
#3 of 32 by recent lines
This season
+66
Elo change since opening night
Forecasts on their games
75%
6–2 this season
Offense
+2.4 pts
#4 of 32 · scored a game above average
Defense
+2.0 pts
#4 of 32 · allowed a game below average
By the numbers
This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are. Home and road leave out their 2 neutral-site games.
- Points scored
- 28.6
- 4th of 32
- Points allowed
- 15.1
- 2nd fewest of 32
- Margin
- +13.5
- 1st of 32
- Yards per play
- 5.90
- 6th of 32
- Yards allowed per play
- 5.41
- 20th of 32
- At home
- 3–0
- 1st of 32
- On the road
- 2–1
- 6th of 32
- Opponent Elo
- 1501
- 16th toughest of 32
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works
Projected record
12-5
Now 6-2 · middle 80%: 11–14 wins
Make the playoffs
98%
Division: 96% · Top seed: 13%
About 9 wins usually gets them in
Reach the Super Bowl
18%
Win it all
9%
In 934 of 10,000 simulations
Playoff chances this season
Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 98%.
Upcoming
Forecasts for their next games. Their next 3 opponents average 1361 Elo, the easiest stretch of the league's 32.
Players
Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.
Rating history
Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.
Against the line
This season, against each game's closing spread and total.
- Against the spread
- 5–3
- Last 10
- 5–3
- As the favorite
- 4–2
- As the underdog
- 1–1
- Overs–unders
- 4–4
- Overs–unders, last 10
- 4–4
Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.
Recent results
Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.
Last 10, oldest first: W L W L W W W L W W
- W
@ BAL 33–10Picked JAX 81%Nov 5Hit - W
vs IND 42–7Picked JAX 80%Nov 1Hit - L
vs HOU 31–34Picked JAX 57%Oct 18Miss - W
vs PHI 19–17Picked JAX 75%Oct 11Hit - W
@ CIN 22–17Picked CIN 56%Oct 4Miss - W
vs NE 35–6Picked JAX 58%Sep 27Hit - L
@ DEN 13–20Picked DEN 56%Sep 20Hit - W
vs CLE 34–10Picked JAX 79%Sep 13Hit - L
vs BUF 24–27Picked JAX 53%Jan 11Miss - W
vs TEN 41–7Picked JAX 86%Jan 4Hit
Injury report
Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.
Brian Thomas Jr. WR
ActiveThe Jaguars have relayed to inquiring teams that they intend to keep Thomas through Tuesday's trade deadline, Jeremy Fowler of ESPN.com reports.
Davon Godchaux DT
ActiveThe Jaguars acquired Godchaux from the Saints on Monday in exchange for a 2028 sixth-round pick, though the selection could turn into a 2027 sixth-round pick if "conditions are met," Jonathan Jones of The Athletic of The Athletic reports.
CJ Williams WR
ActiveWesley Williams DE
ActiveFoyesade Oluokun LB
ActiveOluokun recorded seven tackles (six solo), including 1.0 sacks, in Thursday's 33-10 victory over Baltimore.
Tanner Koziol TE
ActiveKoziol finished Thursday's 33-10 win over Baltimore with two catches for 15 yards on two targets.
Nate Boerkircher TE
ActiveBoerkircher hauled in two of three targets for 61 yards in Thursday night's 33-10 win over Baltimore.
Josh Cameron WR
ActiveCameron caught his only target for six yards in Thursday night's 33-10 victory over the Ravens.
Ameer Abdullah RB
ActiveAbdullah carried the ball seven times for 30 yards and returned one kickoff for 24 yards in Thursday night's 33-10 win over the Ravens.
Brenton Strange TE
ActiveStrange caught both of his targets for 22 yards in Thursday night's 33-10 win over the Ravens.
Travis Hunter WR
ActiveHunter caught his only target for minus-1 yard and lost a fumble in Thursday night's 33-10 win over the Ravens.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB
ActiveRodriguez rushed 10 times for 19 yards and a touchdown and brought in both targets for 13 yards in the Jaguars' 33-10 win over the Ravens on Thursday night.
Cam Little PK
ActiveLittle made all four of his field-goal attempts and all three of his extra-point tries in a 33-10 win over Baltimore on Thursday.
Jakobi Meyers WR
ActiveMeyers brought in four of six targets for 65 yards in the Jaguars' 33-10 win over the Ravens on Thursday night.
Trevor Lawrence QB
ActiveLawrence completed 16 of 26 passes for 242 yards with a touchdown and no interceptions while rushing once for minus-1 yard in the Jaguars' 33-16 win over the Ravens on Thursday night.
Parker Washington WR
ActiveWashington secured two of seven targets for 61 yards and a touchdown in the Jaguars' 33-10 win over the Ravens on Thursday night. He also returned one punt for 11 yards.
Bhayshul Tuten RB
ActiveTuten (ankle/foot) rushed 12 times for 29 yards and a touchdown in the Jaguars' 33-10 win over the Ravens on Thursday night.
Travon Walker DE
ActiveWalker (ribs) is available for Thursday's game against Baltimore.
Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig S
Outinactive
Antonio Johnson S
ActiveJohnson (ankle) has no injury designation ahead of Thursday night's matchup against Baltimore.