NBA · 2026-27
Oklahoma City Thunder
8-2 · #1 of 30 by Elo
Elo rating
1674
#1 of 30 · 1500 is average
Market rating
1688
#2 of 30 by recent lines
This season
+40
Elo change since opening night
Forecasts on their games
70%
7–3 this season
Offense
+1.0 pts
#11 of 30 · scored a game above average
Defense
+5.2 pts
#3 of 30 · allowed a game below average
By the numbers
This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are.
- Points scored
- 112.2
- 19th of 30
- Points allowed
- 104.2
- 3rd fewest of 30
- Margin
- +8.0
- 8th of 30
- Offense rating
- 111.1
- 18th of 30
- Defense rating
- 103.1
- 1st of 30
- Pace
- 100.9
- 20th of 30
- At home
- 5–0
- 1st of 30
- On the road
- 3–2
- 10th of 30
- Opponent Elo
- 1513
- 13th toughest of 30
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026-27 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works
Projected record
60-22
Now 8-2 · middle 80%: 55–65 wins
Make the playoffs
>99%
Play-in: <1%
About 49 wins usually gets them in
Reach the NBA Finals
34%
Win it all
21%
In 2,079 of 10,000 simulations
Playoff chances this season
Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 100%.
Upcoming
Forecasts for their next games. Their next 5 opponents average 1458 Elo, the 7th-easiest stretch of the league's 30.
Thunder
8-2
Trail Blazers
6-3
Thunder
8-2
Trail Blazers
6-3
Thunder
8-2
Clippers
2-8
Thunder
8-2
Kings
1-10
Hawks
7-5
Thunder
8-2
Pelicans
4-7
Thunder
8-2
Players
Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.
Rating history
Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.
Against the line
This season, against each game's closing spread and total.
- Against the spread
- 6–2
- Last 10
- 6–2
- As the favorite
- 4–1
- As the underdog
- 2–1
- Overs–unders
- 2–6
- Overs–unders, last 10
- 2–6
Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.
Recent results
Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.
Last 10, oldest first: W W W W L L W W W W
- W
vs WSH 114–75Picked OKC 81%Nov 7Hit - W
@ MEM 128–97Picked OKC 58%Nov 6Hit - W
vs CLE 124–116Picked OKC 55%Nov 4Hit - W@ CLE 117–112Picked CLE 61%Nov 2Miss
- L
@ HOU 98–119Picked HOU 56%Oct 31Hit - L
@ DAL 96–120Picked OKC 66%Oct 28Miss - W
vs PHX 125–114Picked OKC 73%Oct 26Hit - W
vs LAC 108–101Picked OKC 83%Oct 25Hit - W
vs DEN 96–84Picked OKC 74%Oct 22Hit - W
@ SA 116–104Picked SA 53%Oct 20Miss
Injury report
Current ESPN report.
Jaylin Williams F
OutWilliams (back) has been ruled out for Tuesday's game against the Trail Blazers.
Thomas Sorber C
OutSorber (knee) is out for Wednesday's game against the Cavaliers.
Cason Wallace G
OutWallace underwent surgery Friday to repair a torn labrum in his left shoulder and will be re-evaluated before the end of the regular season, Clemente Almanza of USA Today reports.
Chet Holmgren C
OutHolmgren underwent a biological treatment Friday to address a small patellar tendon tear and will miss at least 8-10 weeks, Nick Crain of Slam reports.
Jalen Williams G
OutWilliams (leg) underwent successful surgery Wednesday to "address a fractured left fibula and reconstruction of ankle ligaments following a fracture and dislocation." He will be re-evaluated before the end of the regular season, Tim MacMahon of ESPN.com reports.