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NBA power rankings

Elo rating

1476

#19 of 30 · 1500 is average

Market rating

1494

#17 of 30 by recent lines

This season

−41

Elo change since opening night

Forecasts on their games

50%

5–5 this season

Offense

−2.3 pts

#26 of 30 · scored a game above average

Defense

+0.4 pts

#14 of 30 · allowed a game below average

By the numbers

This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are.

Points scored
107.0
26th of 30
Points allowed
114.6
18th fewest of 30
Margin
−7.6
24th of 30
Offense rating
105.8
25th of 30
Defense rating
113.3
22nd of 30
Pace
100.2
25th of 30
At home
0–4
27th of 30
On the road
3–3
13th of 30
Opponent Elo
1523
7th toughest of 30

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026-27 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works

Projected record

39-43

Now 3-7 · middle 80%: 33–45 wins

Make the playoffs

45%

Play-in: 83%
About 41 wins usually gets them in

Reach the NBA Finals

<1%

Win it all

<1%

In 1 of 10,000 simulations

Playoff chances this season

Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 45%.

0%50%100%Nov 3Nov 11

Upcoming

Forecasts for their next games. Their next 5 opponents average 1433 Elo, the 4th-easiest stretch of the league's 30.

Players

Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.

Rating history

Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.

Magic
14001450150015501600league averageNovJanMarMayJulSepNov

Against the line

This season, against each game's closing spread and total.

Against the spread
2–5
Last 10
2–5
As the favorite
1–3
As the underdog
1–2
Overs–unders
3–4
Overs–unders, last 10
3–4

Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.

Recent results

Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.

Injury report

Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.

  • Paolo Banchero F

    −33 EloOut

    36 min a game when healthy · 22.6 Game Score per 48

    Banchero is expected to be sidelined for the next four-to-six weeks due to a right high-ankle sprain, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.

  • Jalen Suggs G

    −4 EloOut

    34 min a game when healthy · 18.1 Game Score per 48

    Suggs (knee) has been ruled out for Tuesday's game against the Kings.

  • Izaiyah Nelson F

    −1 EloOut

    7 min a game when healthy · 17.9 Game Score per 48

    Team president Jeff Weltman said Monday that Nelson (ankle) remains about a month away from returning to the court after offseason surgery, per Philip Rossman-Reich of OrlandoMagicDaily.com.

  • Tristan da Silva F

    Out

    Da Silva (calf) has been ruled out for Tuesday's game against the Kings, Jason Beede of the Orlando Sentinel reports.

  • Jonathan Isaac F

    Out

    Isaac (knee) is out for Tuesday's game against Sacramento.

  • Noah Penda F

    Out

    Penda was diagnosed with a partially torn right hamstring Saturday, Jason Beede of the Orlando Sentinel reports.