NBA · 2026-27
Milwaukee Bucks
1-10 · #26 of 30 by Elo
Elo rating
1360
#26 of 30 · 1500 is average
Market rating
1340
#26 of 30 by recent lines
This season
−79
Elo change since opening night
Forecasts on their games
82%
9–2 this season
Offense
−3.8 pts
#28 of 30 · scored a game above average
Defense
−3.7 pts
#25 of 30 · allowed a game below average
By the numbers
This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are.
- Points scored
- 106.3
- 29th of 30
- Points allowed
- 121.2
- 28th fewest of 30
- Margin
- −14.9
- 29th of 30
- Offense rating
- 105.0
- 27th of 30
- Defense rating
- 119.7
- 29th of 30
- Pace
- 101.1
- 17th of 30
- Last 10
- 1–9
- 25th of 27
- At home
- 1–5
- 25th of 30
- On the road
- 0–5
- 27th of 30
- Opponent Elo
- 1532
- 5th toughest of 30
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026-27 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works
Projected record
22-60
Now 1-10 · middle 80%: 17–28 wins
Make the playoffs
<1%
Play-in: 1%
Reach the NBA Finals
<1%
Win it all
<1%
In 0 of 10,000 simulations
Playoff chances this season
Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 0%.
Upcoming
Forecasts for their next games. Their next 5 opponents average 1518 Elo, the 13th-toughest stretch of the league's 30.
Lakers
10-2
Bucks
1-10
Bucks
1-10
Magic
3-7
Hawks
7-5
Bucks
1-10
Bucks
1-10
Heat
5-6
Trail Blazers
6-3
Bucks
1-10
Bucks
1-10
76ers
9-3
Players
Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.
Rating history
Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.
Against the line
This season, against each game's closing spread and total.
- Against the spread
- 3–8
- Last 10
- 3–7
- As the favorite
- 0–1
- As the underdog
- 3–7
- Overs–unders
- 5–6
- Overs–unders, last 10
- 4–6
Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.
Recent results
Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.
Last 10, oldest first: L L W L L L L L L L
- L
@ NY 85–117Picked NY 88%Nov 10Hit - L
vs BOS 97–117Picked BOS 86%Nov 8Hit - L
vs TOR 107–121Picked TOR 70%Nov 6Hit - L@ BOS 102–109Picked BOS 82%Nov 4Hit
- L
@ MIN 100–112Picked MIN 80%Nov 2Hit - L
vs CLE 111–136Picked CLE 76%Oct 31Hit - L
vs HOU 100–132Picked HOU 74%Oct 28Hit - W
vs IND 110–102Picked IND 61%Oct 26Miss - L
@ PHI 116–127Picked PHI 83%Oct 24Hit - L
vs CHI 125–132Picked MIL 52%Oct 23Miss
Injury report
Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.
Tyler Herro G
−32 EloOut30 min a game when healthy · 21.5 Game Score per 48
Herro (knee) is listed as out for Tuesday's game against New York.