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NBA · Golden State Warriors

Gui Santos

19 min

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Next: GS @ HOU

. Over chances follow the book's number with its margin removed; our projection and model chance sit beside it.

StatProjLineL10OverParlay
Points7.77.5down from 8.52/10 games over this line48%
Rebounds3.63.56/10 games over this line51%
Assists2.0———No line
Pts+Reb+Ast13.3———No line
Pts+Reb11.411.53/10 games over this line47%
Pts+Ast9.7———No line
Reb+Ast5.6———No line

Any line

The chance he clears other lines next game, like the alternate lines books sell (25+ points and so on).

  • 5+74%
  • Over 7.5DraftKings line48%
  • 10+33%
  • 15+11%
  • 20+3%

Read off the book's line and its chance, with how much this stat usually spreads around it. Checked on later games the fit never saw: lines put at about 17% went over 15% of the time in the NBA, 16% in the NHL and 14% in the NFL (overs ran a little short in that stretch, main lines included), and where the book posted alternate lines of its own, its prices and these chances were about even. Alternate lines carry no price here: enter your book's price on the parlay page.

Recent games

Newest first. Each stat next to the book's main line that game, where one is on file: green went over, red went under.

0142825Apr 2vs CLE15Apr 5vs HOU7Apr 10@ SAC7Apr 12@ LAC12Oct 21@ LAL5Oct 23vs MEM7Oct 24@ PHX13Oct 26@ DEN2Oct 30vs LAL4Nov 1vs LAC3Nov 7vs ORL3Nov 9vs NO- - Next line 7.5

Bars are what he did; the dark tick is that game's line (green went over, red under); the dashed line is his next game's line.

GameRolePointsReboundsAssistsPts+Reb+AstPts+Reb
Nov 9 vs NO21 min3/ 8.57/ 3.541410/ 11.5
Nov 7 vs ORL12 min3/ 7.51/ 3.5044
Nov 1 vs LAC9 min4/ 8.53/ 3.51/ 1.58/ 14.57/ 12.5
Oct 30 vs LAL16 min2/ 9.55/ 4.5187/ 13.5
Oct 26 @ DEN28 min13/ 8.53/ 3.511716/ 13.5
Oct 24 @ PHX23 min7/ 12.54/ 5.53/ 3.514/ 22.511/ 18.5
Oct 23 vs MEM20 min5/ 10.54/ 4.52/ 2.511/ 17.59/ 15.5
Oct 21 @ LAL25 min12/ 12.55/ 5.50/ 2.517/ 21.517/ 17.5
Apr 12 @ LAC17 min7721614
Apr 10 @ SAC27 min7361610
Apr 5 vs HOU32 min15412019
Apr 2 vs CLE31 min25443329
This season, 8 games6.14.01.511.610.1
Average, these 12 games8.64.22.114.812.8

Against the line in these games: Points over 1 of 8 · Rebounds over 2 of 8 · Assists over 0 of 4 · Pts+Reb+Ast over 0 of 4 · Pts+Reb over 1 of 7. A handful of games says little: books move the line to his recent form, which is why streaks like these rarely carry on.

Splits

What he's averaged, cut a few ways: a description of past games, not a forecast. Home and road cover this season and last, leaving out neutral sites.

SplitGamesPointsReboundsAssistsPts+Reb+AstPts+Reb
This season86.14.01.511.610.1
Last season689.23.92.315.413.1
Last 10106.34.22.012.510.5
At home368.63.22.013.811.8
On the road409.14.62.516.213.7

Against Rockets

His last 6 games against his next opponent, newest first, back through the seasons on file. A few games against one team is a small sample, and rosters change between seasons.

GameRolePointsReboundsAssistsPts+Reb+AstPts+Reb
Apr 5 vs HOU32 min15412019
Mar 5 @ HOU42 min14662620
Nov 26 vs HOU6 min01121
May 2 vs HOU2 min20132
Apr 30 @ HOU18 min722119
Apr 28 vs HOU1 min00000
Average, these 6 games6.32.21.810.38.5