NBA · 2026-27
Golden State Warriors
8-3 · #9 of 30 by Elo
Elo rating
1550
#9 of 30 · 1500 is average
Market rating
1536
#13 of 30 by recent lines
This season
+81
Elo change since opening night
Forecasts on their games
64%
7–4 this season
Offense
+2.1 pts
#5 of 30 · scored a game above average
Defense
+0.6 pts
#13 of 30 · allowed a game below average
By the numbers
This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are.
- Points scored
- 120.4
- 2nd of 30
- Points allowed
- 111.2
- 12th fewest of 30
- Margin
- +9.2
- 4th of 30
- Offense rating
- 118.3
- 2nd of 30
- Defense rating
- 109.3
- 11th of 30
- Pace
- 100.8
- 22nd of 30
- Last 10
- 8–2
- 3rd of 27
- At home
- 6–1
- 3rd of 30
- On the road
- 2–2
- 13th of 30
- Opponent Elo
- 1518
- 10th toughest of 30
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026-27 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works
Projected record
47-35
Now 8-3 · middle 80%: 41–53 wins
Make the playoffs
86%
Play-in: 45%
About 41 wins usually gets them in
Reach the NBA Finals
1%
Win it all
<1%
In 24 of 10,000 simulations
Playoff chances this season
Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 86%.
Upcoming
Forecasts for their next games. Their next 5 opponents average 1521 Elo, the 11th-toughest stretch of the league's 30.
Warriors
8-3
Rockets
8-3
Warriors
8-3
Spurs
9-2
Warriors
8-3
Pelicans
4-7
Warriors
8-3
Mavericks
7-4
Warriors
8-3
Grizzlies
7-3
Celtics
9-2
Warriors
8-3
Players
Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.
Rating history
Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.
Against the line
This season, against each game's closing spread and total.
- Against the spread
- 6–2
- Last 10
- 6–2
- As the favorite
- 2–1
- As the underdog
- 4–1
- Overs–unders
- 4–4
- Overs–unders, last 10
- 4–4
Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.
Recent results
Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.
Last 10, oldest first: L L W W W W W W W W
- W
vs NO 138–87Picked GS 74%Nov 9Hit - W
vs ORL 126–119Picked GS 65%Nov 7Hit - W
vs MIA 120–100Picked GS 62%Nov 5Hit - W
vs PHX 116–113Picked GS 55%Nov 2Hit - W
vs LAC 124–112Picked GS 62%Nov 1Hit - W
vs LAL 112–95Picked LAL 57%Oct 30Miss - W
@ MIN 119–114Picked MIN 60%Oct 28Miss - W
@ DEN 134–114Picked DEN 70%Oct 26Miss - L@ PHX 122–131Picked PHX 77%Oct 24Hit
- L
vs MEM 108–111Picked GS 59%Oct 23Miss
Injury report
Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.
Jimmy Butler III F
−44 EloOut28 min a game when healthy · 27.5 Game Score per 48
Butler (knee) could return sometime between January and February as he continues recovering from a torn right ACL, Anthony Slater of ESPN reports.
Kristaps Porzingis C
−31 EloOut25 min a game when healthy · 25.4 Game Score per 48
Porzingis announced on his social media that he's stepping away from basketball.
Brandon Williams G
−4 EloOut15 min a game when healthy · 20.0 Game Score per 48
Williams (hamstring) will miss at least one week, per Anthony Slater of ESPN.com.
Gary Payton II G
OutPayton (knee) is out for Wednesday's game against Houston.
Will Richard G
OutRichard (thumb) is questionable for Wednesday's game against Houston.
Moses Moody G
OutMoody (knee) is progressing toward a potential return between December and January after rupturing his left patellar tendon in March, Anthony Slater of ESPN reports.