NFL · 2026

Carolina Panthers

3-5 · #23 of 32 by Elo

Next game@

NO· Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ETPlayoffs: 27% with a win, 12% with a loss45%to win

Matchup What if they win out?

Elo rating

1402

#23 of 32 · 1500 is average

Market rating

1464

#20 of 32 by recent lines

This season

−24

Elo change since opening night

Forecasts on their games

63%

5–3 this season

Offense

−1.0 pts

#20 of 32 · scored a game above average

Defense

−2.1 pts

#26 of 32 · allowed a game below average

By the numbers

This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are.

Points scored: 24.9; 11th of 32
Points allowed: 27.4; 28th fewest of 32
Margin: −2.5; 19th of 32
Yards per play: 5.49; 12th of 32
Yards allowed per play: 5.30; 16th of 32
At home: 1–3; 19th of 32
On the road: 2–2; 14th of 32
Opponent Elo: 1534; 5th toughest of 32

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works

Projected record

6-11

Now 3-5 · middle 80%: 5–8 wins

Make the playoffs

18%

Division: 18% · Top seed: <1%
About 9 wins usually gets them in

Reach the Super Bowl

<1%

Win it all

<1%

In 9 of 10,000 simulations

Playoff chances this season

Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 18%.

Upcoming

Forecasts for their next games. Their next 3 opponents average 1487 Elo, the 16th-toughest stretch of the league's 32.

Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ETFox

Panthers

3-5

45%

Saints

3-5

55%

Pick NOToss-upLine NO -2.5

Sun, Nov 22 · 1:00 PM ETFox

Ravens

4-5

47%

Panthers

3-5

53%

Pick CARToss-upLine CAR -1.5

Mon, Nov 30 · 8:15 PM ETESPN

Panthers

3-5

31%

Buccaneers

3-6

69%

Pick TBSolidPre-line forecast

Players

Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.

Rating history

Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.

Panthers

Against the line

This season, against each game's closing spread and total.

Against the spread: 3–5
Last 10: 3–5
As the favorite: 2–2
As the underdog: 1–3
Overs–unders: 4–4
Overs–unders, last 10: 4–4

Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.

Recent results

Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.

Injury report

Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.

John Metchie III WR
Active
Metchie caught both of his targets for 40 yards Sunday in a loss to the Broncos.
Mitchell Evans TE
Active
Evans caught both of his two targets for 20 yards during Sunday's 26-21 loss versus the Broncos.
Trevor Etienne RB
Active
Etienne carried the ball two times for seven yards and returned one punt for nine yards during Carolina'a loss Sunday to the Broncos.
Jaelan Phillips LB
Questionable
questionable
Will Lee III CB
Questionable
questionable
Damien Lewis G
Questionable
questionable
Bobby Okereke LB
Questionable
questionable
Ryan Fitzgerald PK
Active
Fitzgerald missed his only field-goal attempt and went 3-for-3 on extra-point tries during Sunday's 26-21 loss to the Broncos.
Jaycee Horn CB
Injured Reserve
Head coach Dave Canales plans to take "the next two days" to discuss Horn (quadriceps), Mike Kaye of ESPN.com reports.
Mike Jackson CB
Injured Reserve
Head coach Dave Canales stated the team plans to take "the next two days to discuss" Jackson (groin), Mike Kaye of ESPN.com reports.
Ja'Tavion Sanders TE
Active
Sanders recorded zero targets during Sunday's 26-21 loss to the Broncos.
TeRah Edwards DT
Active
Haynes King QB
Active
AJ Dillon RB
Active
Xavier Legette WR
Injured Reserve
Panthers head coach Dave Canales said Monday that Legette (knee) will be designated for return from injured reserve this week, Joe Person of The Athletic reports.
Jonathon Brooks RB
Injured Reserve
Head coach Dave Canales said Monday that the Panthers will spend the next two days discussing the status of Brooks (core), Mike Kaye of ESPN.com reports.
Jalen Coker WR
Active
Coker caught four of five targets for 29 yards in Sunday's 26-21 loss to the Broncos.
Tommy Tremble TE
Active
Tremble caught four of six targets for 24 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 26-21 loss to the Broncos.
Darren Waller TE
Active
Waller caught eight of 10 targets for 90 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 26-21 loss to the Broncos.
Tetairoa McMillan WR
Active
McMillan caught four of six targets for 56 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 26-21 loss to the Broncos.