NFL · 2026

Minnesota Vikings

6-2 · #7 of 32 by Elo

Next game@

GB· Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ETPlayoffs: 93% with a win, 77% with a loss40%to win

Matchup What if they win out?

Elo rating

1611

#7 of 32 · 1500 is average

Market rating

1525

#15 of 32 by recent lines

This season

+22

Elo change since opening night

Forecasts on their games

88%

7–1 this season

Offense

−1.8 pts

#27 of 32 · scored a game above average

Defense

+3.4 pts

#1 of 32 · allowed a game below average

By the numbers

This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are.

Points scored: 18.3; 27th of 32
Points allowed: 14.5; 1st fewest of 32
Margin: +3.8; 10th of 32
Yards per play: 4.65; 30th of 32
Yards allowed per play: 4.60; 2nd of 32
At home: 3–1; 9th of 32
On the road: 3–1; 2nd of 32
Opponent Elo: 1530; 7th toughest of 32

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works

Projected record

12-5

Now 6-2 · middle 80%: 10–13 wins

Make the playoffs

86%

Division: 31% · Top seed: 17%
About 10 wins usually gets them in

Reach the Super Bowl

13%

Win it all

In 568 of 10,000 simulations

Playoff chances this season

Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 86%.

Upcoming

Forecasts for their next games. Their next 3 opponents average 1551 Elo, the 7th-toughest stretch of the league's 32.

Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ETFox

Vikings

6-2

40%

Packers

6-3

60%

Pick GBLeanLine GB -3.5

Sun, Nov 22 · 8:20 PM ETNFL Mexico City Game

Vikings

6-2

37%

49ers

7-1

63%

Pick SFSolidLine SF -3.5

Sun, Nov 29 · 1:00 PM ETFox

Falcons

3-6

20%

Vikings

6-2

80%

Pick MINStrongPre-line forecast

Players

Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.

Rating history

Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.

Vikings

Against the line

This season, against each game's closing spread and total.

Against the spread: 4–4
Last 10: 4–4
As the favorite: 2–2
As the underdog: 2–2
Overs–unders: 1–7
Overs–unders, last 10: 1–7

Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.

Recent results

Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.

Injury report

Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.

DeeJay Dallas RB
Active
Dallas caught his only target for a two-yard gain in Monday's Week 9 loss to the Bills.
Myles Price WR
Active
Price caught one of his four targets for six yards in a Week 9 loss to Buffalo on Monday Night Football. He also gained 12 yards on one punt return and brought back four kickoffs for 124 yards.
Will Reichard PK
Active
Reichard made both of his field-goal attempts during the Vikings' 23-6 loss to the Bills on Monday.
Kyler Murray QB
Doubtful
doubtful
Max Brosmer QB
Active
Brosmer completed six of seven attempts for 58 yards in Monday night's 23-6 loss to the Bills.
Odell Beckham Jr. WR
Active
The Vikings released Beckham on Tuesday, Craig Peters of the team's official site reports.
Jauan Jennings WR
Questionable
questionable
Caleb Banks DT
Active
Charles Demmings CB
Active
Jakobe Thomas S
Active
Jordan Addison WR
Active
Addison secured two of three targets for 28 yards in the Vikings' 23-6 loss to the Bills on Monday night.
Aaron Jones Sr. RB
Active
Jones rushed five times for 16 yards and brought in his only target for five yards in the Vikings' 23-6 loss to the Bills on Monday night.
Jordan Mason RB
Active
Mason rushed six times for 35 yards and brought in two of three targets for seven yards in the Vikings' 23-6 loss to the Bills on Monday night.
T.J. Hockenson TE
Active
Hockenson recorded four catches for 33 yards on seven targets in a loss to Buffalo on Monday.
Carson Wentz QB
Active
Wentz completed eight of 25 passes for 81 yards with no touchdowns and two interceptions and rushed once for no gain in the Vikings' 23-6 loss to the Bills on Monday night. He also lost a fumble.
Justin Jefferson WR
Active
Jefferson brought in three of 11 targets for 58 yards in the Vikings' 23-6 loss to the Bills on Monday night.
Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins DE
Questionable
Ingram-Dawkins exited Monday night's game against the Bills with an ankle injury and is questionable to return.
Kyle Van Noy LB
Active
Van Noy (calf) has returned to Monday night's matchup with Buffalo, Kevin Seifert of ESPN.com reports.
Demond Claiborne RB
Injured Reserve
ir
Theo Jackson S
Questionable
Jackson (quadriceps) is active for Monday's game against Buffalo, Craig Peters of the team's official site reports.