NFL · Minnesota Vikings
Aaron Jones Sr.
RB · 11.3 carries
ActiveJones rushed five times for 16 yards and brought in his only target for five yards in the Vikings' 23-6 loss to the Bills on Monday night.
Next: MIN @ GB
. Over chances follow the book's number with its margin removed; our projection and model chance sit beside it.
| Stat | Proj | L5 | Line | L10 | Over | Model | Parlay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rush yds | 45.6 | 54.2 | 27.5 | 7/10 games over this line | 52%* | 69% | |
| Carries | 11.3 | 12.6 | 8.5 | 7/10 games over this line | 52%* | 66% | |
| Rec yds | 13.4 | 12.2 | 9.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 49%* | 43% | |
| Receptions | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 6/10 games over this line | 50%* | 50% | |
| Rush+Rec yds | 59.0 | 66.4 | 40.5 | 6/10 games over this line | 51%* | 64% |
Any line
The chance he clears other lines next game, like the alternate lines books sell (25+ points and so on).
- 25+58%
- Over 27.5DraftKings line52%
- 50+21%
- 75+7%
Read off the book's line and its chance, with how much this stat usually spreads around it. Checked on later games the fit never saw: lines put at about 17% went over 15% of the time in the NBA, 16% in the NHL and 14% in the NFL (overs ran a little short in that stretch, main lines included), and where the book posted alternate lines of its own, its prices and these chances were about even. Alternate lines carry no price here: enter your book's price on the parlay page.
Recent games
Newest first. Each stat next to the book's main line that game, where one is on file: green went over, red went under.
Bars are what he did; the dark tick is that game's line (green went over, red under); the dashed line is his next game's line.
| Game | Role | Rush yds | Carries | Rec yds | Receptions | Rush+Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 vs BUF | 1 targets, 5 carries | 16 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 21 |
| Nov 1 @ DET | 2 targets, 5 carries | 22 | 5 | 18 | 2 | 40 |
| Oct 25 vs IND | 1 targets, 8 carries | 26 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 26 |
| Oct 11 @ NO | 3 targets, 25 carries | 113 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 117 |
| Oct 4 vs MIA | 8 targets, 20 carries | 94 | 20 | 34 | 4 | 128 |
| Sep 27 @ TB | 6 targets, 17 carries | 58 | 17 | 34 | 5 | 92 |
| Sep 20 @ CHI | 23 carries | 105 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 105 |
| Sep 13 vs GB | 1 targets, 12 carries | 40 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 40 |
| Dec 25 vs DET | 4 targets, 18 carries | 53 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 63 |
| Dec 21 @ NYG | 3 targets, 21 carries | 85 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 93 |
| Dec 14 @ DAL | 3 targets, 12 carries | 34 | 12 | 31 | 3 | 65 |
| Dec 7 vs WSH | 1 targets, 14 carries | 76 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 76 |
| This season, 8 games | 59.3 | 14.4 | 11.9 | 2.0 | 71.1 | |
| Average, these 12 games | 60.2 | 15.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 72.2 | |
Splits
What he's averaged, cut a few ways: a description of past games, not a forecast. Home and road cover this season and last, leaving out neutral sites.
| Split | Games | Rush yds | Carries | Rec yds | Receptions | Rush+Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | 8 | 59.3 | 14.4 | 11.9 | 2.0 | 71.1 |
| Last season | 12 | 45.7 | 11.0 | 16.6 | 2.3 | 62.3 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 61.2 | 15.4 | 11.3 | 2.1 | 72.5 |
| At home | 9 | 49.4 | 11.9 | 9.1 | 1.7 | 58.6 |
| On the road | 11 | 52.5 | 12.7 | 19.3 | 2.6 | 71.7 |
Against Packers
His last 4 games against his next opponent, newest first, back through the seasons on file. A few games against one team is a small sample, and rosters change between seasons.
| Game | Role | Rush yds | Carries | Rec yds | Receptions | Rush+Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13 vs GB | 1 targets, 12 carries | 40 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 40 |
| Nov 23 @ GB | 4 targets, 9 carries | 41/ 55.5 | 9/ 13.5 | 16/ 16.5 | 3 | 57/ 76.5 |
| Dec 29 vs GB | 5 targets, 12 carries | 47/ 59.5 | 12/ 15.5 | 30 | 4/ 3.5 | 77/ 90.5 |
| Sep 29 @ GB | 5 targets, 22 carries | 93/ 59.5 | 22/ 13.5 | 46/ 24.5 | 4/ 3.5 | 139/ 84.5 |
| Average, these 4 games | 55.3 | 13.8 | 23.0 | 2.8 | 78.3 | |