NBA · 2026-27
Dallas Mavericks
7-4 · #20 of 30 by Elo
Elo rating
1468
#20 of 30 · 1500 is average
Market rating
1443
#21 of 30 by recent lines
This season
+52
Elo change since opening night
Forecasts on their games
55%
6–5 this season
Offense
+0.8 pts
#13 of 30 · scored a game above average
Defense
−0.9 pts
#18 of 30 · allowed a game below average
By the numbers
This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are.
- Points scored
- 114.9
- 14th of 30
- Points allowed
- 110.3
- 9th fewest of 30
- Margin
- +4.6
- 12th of 30
- Offense rating
- 113.3
- 11th of 30
- Defense rating
- 108.8
- 10th of 30
- Pace
- 100.8
- 21st of 30
- Last 10
- 7–3
- 6th of 27
- At home
- 5–2
- 7th of 30
- On the road
- 2–2
- 13th of 30
- Opponent Elo
- 1494
- 18th toughest of 30
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026-27 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works
Projected record
37-45
Now 7-4 · middle 80%: 31–43 wins
Make the playoffs
18%
Play-in: 54%
About 44 wins usually gets them in
Reach the NBA Finals
<1%
Win it all
<1%
In 0 of 10,000 simulations
Playoff chances this season
Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 18%.
Upcoming
Forecasts for their next games. Their next 5 opponents average 1575 Elo, the 2nd-toughest stretch of the league's 30.
Mavericks
7-4
Timberwolves
8-3
Mavericks
7-4
Cavaliers
5-6
Mavericks
7-4
Celtics
9-2
Warriors
8-3
Mavericks
7-4
Clippers
2-8
Mavericks
7-4
Mavericks
7-4
Jazz
1-10
Players
Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.
Rating history
Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.
Against the line
This season, against each game's closing spread and total.
- Against the spread
- 7–3
- Last 10
- 7–3
- As the favorite
- 2–1
- As the underdog
- 5–2
- Overs–unders
- 2–8
- Overs–unders, last 10
- 2–8
Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.
Recent results
Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.
Last 10, oldest first: W L W W W L L W W W
- W
vs IND 125–122Picked DAL 61%Nov 9Hit - W
vs BKN 130–93Picked DAL 72%Nov 8Hit - W
vs UTAH 112–100Picked DAL 69%Nov 6Hit - L
@ SA 111–112Picked SA 81%Nov 4Hit - L
vs SAC 100–115Picked DAL 72%Nov 2Miss - W
vs HOU 116–111Picked HOU 68%Oct 30Miss - W
vs OKC 120–96Picked OKC 66%Oct 28Miss - W
@ MIA 113–109Picked MIA 71%Oct 26Miss - Lvs SA 106–122Picked SA 86%Oct 24Hit
- W@ IND 121–105Picked IND 70%Oct 23Miss
Injury report
Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.
Dereck Lively II C
−13 EloOut16 min a game when healthy · 21.9 Game Score per 48
Lively (foot) is listed as out for Monday's game against the Kings.
Morez Johnson Jr. F
−2 EloDay-To-Day18 min a game when healthy · 18.5 Game Score per 48
Johnson (leg) has been ruled out for Monday's game against the Pacers.
Sergio de Larrea F
OutDe Larrea (knee) is out for Friday's game against Utah.
Tarik Biberovic F
OutBiberovic (heel) is listed as out for Monday's game against Sacramento.