
NBA · 2026-27
New Orleans Pelicans
4-7 · #23 of 30 by Elo
Elo rating
1421
#23 of 30 · 1500 is average
Market rating
1421
#22 of 30 by recent lines
This season
−7
Elo change since opening night
Forecasts on their games
73%
8–3 this season
Offense
+1.3 pts
#9 of 30 · scored a game above average
Defense
−4.7 pts
#29 of 30 · allowed a game below average
By the numbers
This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are.
- Points scored
- 117.5
- 8th of 30
- Points allowed
- 122.4
- 29th fewest of 30
- Margin
- −4.9
- 20th of 30
- Offense rating
- 111.2
- 17th of 30
- Defense rating
- 115.8
- 26th of 30
- Pace
- 102.7
- 5th of 30
- Last 10
- 4–6
- 17th of 27
- At home
- 3–3
- 14th of 30
- On the road
- 1–4
- 22nd of 30
- Opponent Elo
- 1461
- 28th toughest of 30
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026-27 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works
Projected record
31-51
Now 4-7 · middle 80%: 25–37 wins
Make the playoffs
2%
Play-in: 11%
Reach the NBA Finals
<1%
Win it all
<1%
In 0 of 10,000 simulations
Playoff chances this season
Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 2%.
Upcoming
Forecasts for their next games. Their next 5 opponents average 1496 Elo, the 13th-easiest stretch of the league's 30.
Nets
2-8
Pelicans
4-7
Grizzlies
7-3
Pelicans
4-7
Nuggets
5-4
Pelicans
4-7
Warriors
8-3
Pelicans
4-7
Pistons
7-3
Pelicans
4-7
Pelicans
4-7
Thunder
8-2
Players
Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.
Rating history
Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.
Against the line
This season, against each game's closing spread and total.
- Against the spread
- 6–3
- Last 10
- 6–3
- As the favorite
- 1–1
- As the underdog
- 5–2
- Overs–unders
- 5–4
- Overs–unders, last 10
- 5–4
Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.
Recent results
Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.
Last 10, oldest first: L L L W W W W L L L
- L
@ GS 87–138Picked GS 74%Nov 9Hit - L
@ LAC 123–139Picked NO 54%Nov 8Miss - L
vs MIN 109–115Picked MIN 60%Nov 6Hit - W
vs UTAH 120–113Picked NO 66%Nov 4Hit - W
@ MEM 135–134Picked MEM 65%Nov 2Miss - W
vs ATL 121–99Picked ATL 62%Oct 31Miss - W
vs SAC 132–120Picked NO 62%Oct 29Hit - L
vs DEN 91–104Picked DEN 62%Oct 28Hit - L
@ DEN 135–141Picked DEN 80%Oct 24Hit - L
@ UTAH 119–120Picked UTAH 50%Oct 23Hit
Injury report
Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.
Trey Murphy III F
−7 EloDay-To-Day32 min a game when healthy · 19.7 Game Score per 48
Murphy (knee) is probable for Wednesday's game against the Nets.
Trendon Watford F
OutWatford (ankle) is out for Wednesday's game against the Nets.
Yves Missi C
OutMissi (knee) is out for Friday's game against Minnesota.