NBA · 2026-27
Minnesota Timberwolves
8-3 · #5 of 30 by Elo
Elo rating
1638
#5 of 30 · 1500 is average
Market rating
1599
#8 of 30 by recent lines
This season
+79
Elo change since opening night
Forecasts on their games
64%
7–4 this season
Offense
+1.5 pts
#8 of 30 · scored a game above average
Defense
+3.0 pts
#7 of 30 · allowed a game below average
By the numbers
This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are.
- Points scored
- 118.1
- 6th of 30
- Points allowed
- 107.0
- 6th fewest of 30
- Margin
- +11.1
- 3rd of 30
- Offense rating
- 114.8
- 8th of 30
- Defense rating
- 104.0
- 2nd of 30
- Pace
- 101.7
- 13th of 30
- Last 10
- 7–3
- 6th of 27
- At home
- 4–1
- 6th of 30
- On the road
- 4–2
- 7th of 30
- Opponent Elo
- 1492
- 20th toughest of 30
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026-27 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works
Projected record
52-30
Now 8-3 · middle 80%: 46–58 wins
Make the playoffs
97%
Play-in: 14%
About 41 wins usually gets them in
Reach the NBA Finals
6%
Win it all
2%
In 234 of 10,000 simulations
Playoff chances this season
Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 97%.
Upcoming
Forecasts for their next games. Their next 5 opponents average 1502 Elo, the 15th-easiest stretch of the league's 30.
Mavericks
7-4
Timberwolves
8-3
Bulls
1-8
Timberwolves
8-3
Trail Blazers
6-3
Timberwolves
8-3
Trail Blazers
6-3
Timberwolves
8-3
Knicks
6-4
Timberwolves
8-3
Grizzlies
7-3
Timberwolves
8-3
Players
Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.
Rating history
Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.
Against the line
This season, against each game's closing spread and total.
- Against the spread
- 9–1
- Last 10
- 9–1
- As the favorite
- 4–1
- As the underdog
- 5–0
- Overs–unders
- 5–5
- Overs–unders, last 10
- 5–5
Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.
Recent results
Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.
Last 10, oldest first: W W L L W L W W W W
- W
vs UTAH 115–100Picked MIN 84%Nov 8Hit - W
@ NO 115–109Picked MIN 60%Nov 6Hit - W
@ HOU 117–107Picked HOU 73%Nov 4Miss - W
vs MIL 112–100Picked MIN 80%Nov 2Hit - L
@ SA 111–121Picked SA 82%Oct 31Hit - W
vs LAC 127–101Picked MIN 71%Oct 30Hit - L
vs GS 114–119Picked MIN 60%Oct 28Miss - L
@ CLE 125–127Picked CLE 61%Oct 26Hit - W
vs TOR 117–94Picked MIN 55%Oct 25Hit - W
@ ORL 115–93Picked ORL 52%Oct 23Miss
Injury report
Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.
Anthony Edwards G
−40 EloOut34 min a game when healthy · 26.1 Game Score per 48
Edwards underwent a successful arthroscopic procedure on his right knee Thursday, the Timberwolves announced.
Donte DiVincenzo G
OutDiVincenzo (Achilles) remains confident that he'll return during the 2026-27 season, Jon Krawczynski of The Athletic reports.