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NBA power rankings

Elo rating

1522

#12 of 30 · 1500 is average

Market rating

1555

#10 of 30 by recent lines

This season

+10

Elo change since opening night

Forecasts on their games

58%

7–5 this season

Offense

+2.3 pts

#4 of 30 · scored a game above average

Defense

−1.6 pts

#21 of 30 · allowed a game below average

By the numbers

This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are.

Points scored
118.3
5th of 30
Points allowed
116.2
22nd fewest of 30
Margin
+2.1
14th of 30
Offense rating
112.6
14th of 30
Defense rating
110.7
13th of 30
Pace
104.9
2nd of 30
Last 10
5–5
13th of 27
At home
3–3
14th of 30
On the road
4–2
7th of 30
Opponent Elo
1466
27th toughest of 30

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026-27 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works

Projected record

47-35

Now 7-5 · middle 80%: 41–53 wins

Make the playoffs

93%

Play-in: 25%
About 39 wins usually gets them in

Reach the NBA Finals

3%

Win it all

1%

In 67 of 10,000 simulations

Playoff chances this season

Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 93%.

0%50%100%Nov 3Nov 11

Upcoming

Forecasts for their next games. Their next 5 opponents average 1501 Elo, the 14th-easiest stretch of the league's 30.

Players

Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.

Rating history

Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.

Hawks
14001450150015501600league averageNovJanMarMayJulSepNov

Against the line

This season, against each game's closing spread and total.

Against the spread
3–5
Last 10
3–5
As the favorite
2–3
As the underdog
1–2
Overs–unders
4–4
Overs–unders, last 10
4–4

Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.

Recent results

Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.

Injury report

Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.

  • Asa Newell F

    Out

    Newell (toe) has been ruled out for Monday's game against the Lakers.

  • Keshon Gilbert G

    Out

    Gilbert (knee) has been ruled out for Monday's game against the Lakers.

  • Mouhamed Gueye F

    Out

    Gueye underwent surgery Tuesday to repair a fractured left foot that he suffered during a workout last week, Brad Rowland of the Locked On Podcast Network reports.

  • Henri Veesaar C

    Out

    Veesaar was diagnosed with a torn right ACL and is expected to miss the 2026-27 season, the Hawks announced Monday.