
NBA · 2026-27
Atlanta Hawks
7-5 · #12 of 30 by Elo
Elo rating
1522
#12 of 30 · 1500 is average
Market rating
1555
#10 of 30 by recent lines
This season
+10
Elo change since opening night
Forecasts on their games
58%
7–5 this season
Offense
+2.3 pts
#4 of 30 · scored a game above average
Defense
−1.6 pts
#21 of 30 · allowed a game below average
By the numbers
This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are.
- Points scored
- 118.3
- 5th of 30
- Points allowed
- 116.2
- 22nd fewest of 30
- Margin
- +2.1
- 14th of 30
- Offense rating
- 112.6
- 14th of 30
- Defense rating
- 110.7
- 13th of 30
- Pace
- 104.9
- 2nd of 30
- Last 10
- 5–5
- 13th of 27
- At home
- 3–3
- 14th of 30
- On the road
- 4–2
- 7th of 30
- Opponent Elo
- 1466
- 27th toughest of 30
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026-27 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works
Projected record
47-35
Now 7-5 · middle 80%: 41–53 wins
Make the playoffs
93%
Play-in: 25%
About 39 wins usually gets them in
Reach the NBA Finals
3%
Win it all
1%
In 67 of 10,000 simulations
Playoff chances this season
Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 93%.
Upcoming
Forecasts for their next games. Their next 5 opponents average 1501 Elo, the 14th-easiest stretch of the league's 30.
Hawks
7-5
Bulls
1-8
Hawks
7-5
Bucks
1-10
Hawks
7-5
Thunder
8-2
Hornets
4-7
Hawks
7-5
Pistons
7-3
Hawks
7-5
Hawks
7-5
Celtics
9-2
Players
Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.
Rating history
Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.
Against the line
This season, against each game's closing spread and total.
- Against the spread
- 3–5
- Last 10
- 3–5
- As the favorite
- 2–3
- As the underdog
- 1–2
- Overs–unders
- 4–4
- Overs–unders, last 10
- 4–4
Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.
Recent results
Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.
Last 10, oldest first: L L L W L W W W W L
- L
vs LAL 114–124Picked ATL 64%Nov 9Miss - W
vs BKN 124–121Picked ATL 74%Nov 7Hit - W
vs WSH 139–132Picked ATL 74%Nov 6Hit - W
@ WSH 120–105Picked ATL 56%Nov 4Hit - W
@ IND 108–104Picked ATL 79%Nov 2Hit - L
@ NO 99–121Picked ATL 62%Oct 31Miss - W
vs CLE 114–111Picked CLE 53%Oct 29Miss - L
vs MIA 117–129Picked ATL 55%Oct 28Miss - L
@ HOU 110–120Picked HOU 63%Oct 26Hit - L
vs HOU 114–121Picked HOU 50%Oct 24Hit
Injury report
Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.
Asa Newell F
OutNewell (toe) has been ruled out for Monday's game against the Lakers.
Keshon Gilbert G
OutGilbert (knee) has been ruled out for Monday's game against the Lakers.
Mouhamed Gueye F
OutGueye underwent surgery Tuesday to repair a fractured left foot that he suffered during a workout last week, Brad Rowland of the Locked On Podcast Network reports.
Henri Veesaar C
OutVeesaar was diagnosed with a torn right ACL and is expected to miss the 2026-27 season, the Hawks announced Monday.