
NHL · 2026-27
Dallas Stars
10-5-2 · #6 of 32 by Elo
Elo rating
1538
#6 of 32 · 1500 is average
Market rating
1523
#10 of 32 by recent lines
This season
+2
Elo change since opening night
Forecasts on their games
47%
8–9 this season
By the numbers
This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are. Overtime and shootout losses count as losses in these records.
- Goals scored
- 2.9
- 22nd of 32
- Goals allowed
- 2.4
- 4th fewest of 32
- Margin
- +0.5
- 9th of 32
- Shot share
- 53.2%
- 6th of 32
- Save percentage
- 90.7%
- 5th of 32
- Last 10
- 7–3
- 2nd of 32
- At home
- 6–4
- 15th of 32
- On the road
- 4–3
- 8th of 32
- Opponent Elo
- 1498
- 18th toughest of 32
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026-27 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works
Projected record
46-29-9
Now 10-5-2 · middle 80%: 40–52 wins
Make the playoffs
82%
Division: 13%
About 93 points usually gets them in
Reach the Stanley Cup Final
10%
Win it all
4%
In 431 of 10,000 simulations
Playoff chances this season
Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 82%.
Upcoming
Forecasts for their next games. Their next 5 opponents average 1520 Elo, the 4th-toughest stretch of the league's 32.
Jets
8-8-3
Stars
10-5-2
Sabres
8-6-3
Stars
10-5-2
Panthers
10-7-2
Stars
10-5-2
Stars
10-5-2
Golden Knights
12-5-2
Stars
10-5-2
Golden Knights
12-5-2
Penguins
6-10-2
Stars
10-5-2
Players
Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.
- Thomas Harley
- Miro Heiskanen
- Mikko Rantanen
- Jason Robertson
- Nils Lundkvist
- Wyatt Johnston
- Roope Hintz
- Lian Bichsel
- Tyler Myers
- Jake Oettinger
- Esa Lindell
- Tyler Seguin
- Arttu Hyry
- Justin Hryckowian
- Sam Steel
- Jamie Benn
- Joel Kiviranta
- Radek Faksa
- Colin Blackwell
- Casey DeSmith
- Oskar Back
- Kyle Capobianco
- David Perron
- Trey Taylor
Rating history
Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.
Against the line
This season, against each game's closing spread and total.
- Puck line
- 6–10
- Last 10
- 4–6
- As the favorite
- 5–10
- As the underdog
- 1–0
- Overs–unders
- 4–12
- Overs–unders, last 10
- 4–6
Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.
Recent results
Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.
Last 10, oldest first: W W W W L L W W L W
- W
vs SJ 4–3Picked DAL 72%Nov 7Hit - L
@ CBJ 1–2Picked DAL 54%Nov 5Miss - W
@ WSH 6–5Picked WSH 50%Nov 3Miss - W
vs CBJ 3–1Picked DAL 62%Oct 31Hit - L
vs MTL 2–5Picked DAL 59%Oct 29Miss - L
vs NJ 1–5Picked DAL 53%Oct 27Miss - W
vs NYI 6–3Picked DAL 64%Oct 25Hit - W
vs WPG 3–2Picked DAL 64%Oct 22Hit - W
vs BOS 3–2Picked DAL 60%Oct 20Hit - W
@ CHI 4–0Picked DAL 66%Oct 17Hit
Injury report
Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.
Miro Heiskanen D
Day-To-Dayday-to-day
Kyle Capobianco D
Injured Reserveir
Oskar Back C
Injured ReserveBack was placed on long-term injured reserve on Saturday.
Matt Duchene C
Injured ReserveDuchene will be out for approximately three months after undergoing surgery to repair a core injury, the team announced Monday.
Luke Krys D
Injured Reserveir-nr