NFL · 2026

Baltimore Ravens

4-5 · #16 of 32 by Elo

Next gamevs

LAC· Mon, Nov 16 · 8:15 PM ETPlayoffs: 24% with a win, 9% with a loss66%to win

Matchup What if they win out?

Elo rating

1516

#16 of 32 · 1500 is average

Market rating

1581

#7 of 32 by recent lines

This season

−39

Elo change since opening night

Forecasts on their games

67%

6–3 this season

Offense

+1.0 pts

#11 of 32 · scored a game above average

Defense

−0.4 pts

#18 of 32 · allowed a game below average

By the numbers

This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are. Home and road leave out their neutral-site game.

Points scored: 21.0; 22nd of 32
Points allowed: 26.2; 25th fewest of 32
Margin: −5.2; 26th of 32
Yards per play: 5.49; 13th of 32
Yards allowed per play: 5.37; 17th of 32
At home: 1–3; 19th of 32
On the road: 2–2; 14th of 32
Opponent Elo: 1480; 24th toughest of 32

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works

Projected record

8-9

Now 4-5 · middle 80%: 6–10 wins

Make the playoffs

19%

Division: 2% · Top seed: <1%
About 10 wins usually gets them in

Reach the Super Bowl

Win it all

<1%

In 47 of 10,000 simulations

Playoff chances this season

Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 19%.

Upcoming

Forecasts for their next games. Their next 3 opponents average 1422 Elo, the 3rd-easiest stretch of the league's 32.

Mon, Nov 16 · 8:15 PM ETESPN

Chargers

0-8

34%

Ravens

4-5

66%

Pick BALSolidLine BAL -4.5

Sun, Nov 22 · 1:00 PM ETFox

Ravens

4-5

47%

Panthers

3-5

53%

Pick CARToss-upLine CAR -1.5

Sun, Nov 29 · 1:00 PM ETCBS

Ravens

4-5

28%

Texans

3-5

72%

Pick HOUStrongPre-line forecast

Players

Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.

Rating history

Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.

Ravens

Against the line

This season, against each game's closing spread and total.

Against the spread: 2–6–1
Last 10: 2–6–1
As the favorite: 1–3–1
As the underdog: 1–3
Overs–unders: 6–3
Overs–unders, last 10: 6–3

Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.

Recent results

Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.

Injury report

Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.

Lamar Jackson QB
−114 EloInjured Reserve
Usual starter; Jacoby Brissett starts in his place
Jackson, who is scheduled to undergo surgery on his injured right thumb, has told teammates he plans to return later this season, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports.
Ryan Neuzil C
Active
The Falcons traded Neuzil to the Ravens on Tuesday in exchange for Andrew Vorhees and a conditional 2028 sixth-round pick, Jamison Hensley of ESPN.com reports.
Kyle Hamilton S
Questionable
Ravens head coach Jesse Minter said Monday that Hamilton, who couldn't finish last Thursday's loss to Jacksonville due to a hip injury, "looks fairly good," Jonas Shaffer of TheBaltimoreBanner.com reports.
Nate Wiggins CB
Questionable
questionable
Jaylinn Hawkins S
Questionable
questionable
Aeneas Peebles DT
Active
Emery Jones Jr. OT
Active
Kedon Slovis QB
Active
Elijah Sarratt WR
Active
Jacoby Brissett QB
Active
Ahead of Week 10, Ravens head coach Jesse Minter noted "I expect (Brissett) to be our starter" next Monday against the Chargers, Jeff Zrebiec of The Athletic reports.
Malaki Starks S
Active
Starks finished Baltimore's Week 9 loss to the Jaguars on Thursday with four tackles (three solo) and a forced fumble.
Roquan Smith LB
Active
Smith finished with eight tackles (two solo) in Thursday's Week 9 loss to Jacksonville.
Derrick Henry RB
Active
The Ravens aren't expected to deal Henry before Tuesday's trade deadline, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.
Matt Hibner TE
Active
Hibner logged one reception for five yards on two targets in Thursday's loss to Baltimore.
Ja'Kobi Lane WR
Active
Lane did not draw a target Thursday in a loss to Jacksonville.
Josh Cuevas TE
Active
Cuevas didn't garner a target in Thursday night's 33-10 loss to the Jaguars.
Devontez Walker WR
Active
Walker didn't garner a target in Thursday night's 33-10 loss to the Jaguars.
Rashod Bateman WR
Active
Bateman caught one of two targets for six yards in Thursday night's 33-10 loss to the Jaguars.
Justice Hill RB
Active
Hill rushed nine times for 85 yards and a touchdown and brought in all three targets for seven yards in the Ravens' 33-10 loss to the Jaguars on Thursday night.
Mark Andrews TE
Active
Andrews secured both targets for 19 yards in the Ravens' 33-10 loss to the Jaguars on Thursday night.