NFL · 2026
Washington Commanders
2-5-1 · #24 of 32 by Elo
Elo rating
1395
#24 of 32 · 1500 is average
Market rating
1406
#25 of 32 by recent lines
This season
−57
Elo change since opening night
Forecasts on their games
86%
6–1 this season
Offense
+0.1 pts
#18 of 32 · scored a game above average
Defense
−1.9 pts
#25 of 32 · allowed a game below average
By the numbers
This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are. Home and road leave out their neutral-site game.
- Points scored
- 21.5
- 21st of 32
- Points allowed
- 25.3
- 24th fewest of 32
- Margin
- −3.8
- 21st of 32
- Yards per play
- 5.25
- 18th of 32
- Yards allowed per play
- 5.25
- 14th of 32
- At home
- 2–1–1
- 16th of 32
- On the road
- 0–3
- 30th of 32
- Opponent Elo
- 1491
- 19th toughest of 32
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works
Projected record
6-10-1
Now 2-5-1 · middle 80%: 4–8 wins
Make the playoffs
5%
Division: 4% · Top seed: <1%
About 9 wins usually gets them in
Reach the Super Bowl
<1%
Win it all
<1%
In 5 of 10,000 simulations
Playoff chances this season
Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 5%.
Upcoming
Forecasts for their next games. Their next 3 opponents average 1480 Elo, the 16th-easiest stretch of the league's 32.
Players
Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.
- Jayden Daniels
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt
- Rachaad White
- Marcus Mariota
- Stefon Diggs
- Antonio Williams
- Athan Kaliakmanis
- Austin Ekeler
- Chig Okonkwo
- Terry McLaurin
- Treylon Burks
- Dyami Brown
- Jeremy McNichols
- Van Jefferson
- John Bates
- Colson Yankoff
- Ben Sinnott
- Craig Reynolds
- Jaylin Lane
- Luke McCaffrey
- Brandon Coleman
- Jaden Bradley
Rating history
Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.
Against the line
This season, against each game's closing spread and total.
- Against the spread
- 4–4
- Last 10
- 4–4
- As the favorite
- 1–1
- As the underdog
- 3–3
- Overs–unders
- 4–4
- Overs–unders, last 10
- 4–4
Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.
Recent results
Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.
Last 10, oldest first: L W L L W L T L W L
- L
vs LAR 13–20Picked LAR 67%Nov 8Hit - W
vs PHI 27–10Picked WSH 69%Nov 1Hit - L
@ SF 17–23Picked SF 78%Oct 19Hit - T
vs NYG 27–27Picked WSH 62%Oct 11 - L
vs IND 13–30Picked IND 66%Oct 4Hit - W
vs SEA 33–31Picked SEA 78%Sep 27Miss - L
@ DAL 20–37Picked DAL 65%Sep 20Hit - L@ PHI 22–24Picked PHI 67%Sep 13Hit
- W@ PHI 24–17Picked PHI 63%Jan 4Miss
- Lvs DAL 23–30Picked DAL 80%Dec 25Hit
Injury report
Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.
Colson Yankoff TE
QuestionableYankoff (knee) did not participate in Tuesday's walkthrough practice.
Treylon Burks WR
Questionablequestionable
Chig Okonkwo TE
ActiveOkonkwo (hip) was a full participant in Tuesday's practice.
Shy Tuttle DT
ActiveLucas Patrick G
Doubtfuldoubtful
Antonio Williams WR
ActiveWilliams caught three passes for 25 yards on six targets in Sunday's 20-13 loss to the Rams.
Drew Stevens PK
ActiveStevens made both of his field-goal attempts and his only PAT during Sunday's 20-13 loss to the Rams.
Austin Ekeler RB
ActiveEkeler rushed eight times for 16 yards and caught two of three targets for 18 yards during Sunday's 20-13 loss to the Rams.
Isaac Yiadom CB
ActiveTanoa Togiai G
ActiveFabian Moreau CB
ActiveAthan Kaliakmanis QB
ActiveVan Jefferson WR
ActiveJefferson caught five of seven targets for 58 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 20-13 loss to the Rams.
Stefon Diggs WR
ActiveDiggs caught three of five targets for 51 yards in Sunday's 20-13 loss to the Rams.
Rachaad White RB
ActiveWhite carried the ball seven times for 28 yards and caught two of three targets for 41 yards in Sunday's 20-13 loss to the Rams.
Jayden Daniels QB
ActiveDaniels completed 24 of 35 passes for 274 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 20-13 loss to the Rams. He also gained 16 rushing yards on four carries and lost a fumble.
Jer'Zhan Newton DT
ActiveNewton (pectoral) is active for Sunday's game against the Rams.
Dyami Brown WR
Injured ReserveThe Commanders placed Brown (calf) on injured reserve Saturday.
Sam Cosmi G
ActiveJohn Bates TE
Active