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NFL · Washington Commanders

Austin Ekeler

RB · 8.3 carries

ActiveEkeler rushed eight times for 16 yards and caught two of three targets for 18 yards during Sunday's 20-13 loss to the Rams.

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Next: WSH @ NYG

. Over chances follow the book's number with its margin removed; our projection and model chance sit beside it.

StatProjLineL10OverParlay
Rush yds28.427.53/10 games over this line49%*
Carries8.37.55/10 games over this line50%*
Rec yds15.88.57/10 games over this line50%*
Receptions1.91.57/10 games over this line50%*
Rush+Rec yds44.1———No line

Any line

The chance he clears other lines next game, like the alternate lines books sell (25+ points and so on).

  • 10+87%
  • 20+65%
  • Over 27.5DraftKings line49%
  • 30+45%
  • 40+30%
  • 50+19%
  • 60+12%
  • 70+8%
  • 80+5%

Read off the book's line and its chance, with how much this stat usually spreads around it. Checked on later games the fit never saw: lines put at about 17% went over 15% of the time in the NBA, 16% in the NHL and 14% in the NFL (overs ran a little short in that stretch, main lines included), and where the book posted alternate lines of its own, its prices and these chances were about even. Alternate lines carry no price here: enter your book's price on the parlay page.

Recent games

Newest first. Each stat next to the book's main line that game, where one is on file: green went over, red went under.

0265322Nov 24vs DAL12Jan 5@ DAL27Jan 12@ TB47Jan 18@ DET15Jan 26@ PHI26Sep 7vs NYG17Sep 11@ GB29Oct 4vs IND-1Oct 11vs NYG3Oct 19@ SF36Nov 1vs PHI16Nov 8vs LAR- - Next line 27.5

Bars are what he did; the dark tick is that game's line (green went over, red under); the dashed line is his next game's line.

GameRoleRush ydsCarriesRec ydsReceptionsRush+Rec yds
Nov 8 vs LAR3 targets, 8 carries16818234
Nov 1 vs PHI8 carries3680036
Oct 19 @ SF2 targets, 1 carries31427
Oct 11 vs NYG1 targets, 3 carries-1315114
Oct 4 vs IND2 targets, 4 carries29411140
Sep 11 @ GB4 targets, 8 carries17/ 21.58/ 5.57/ 23.52/ 3.524/ 48.5
Sep 7 vs NYG3 targets, 6 carries26/ 28.56/ 6.531/ 21.53/ 2.557/ 54.5
Jan 26 @ PHI7 targets, 8 carries15/ 19.5817/ 24.55/ 3.532/ 45.5
Jan 18 @ DET4 targets, 6 carries47/ 24.56/ 6.541/ 24.54/ 2.588/ 52.5
Jan 12 @ TB4 targets, 8 carries27/ 19.58/ 5.5263/ 2.553/ 44.5
Jan 5 @ DAL2 targets, 3 carries12320232
Nov 24 vs DAL3 targets, 9 carries22/ 19.592/ 24.52/ 2.524/ 47.5
This season, 5 games16.64.89.61.226.2
Average, these 12 games20.86.016.02.336.8

Against the line in these games: Rush yds over 3 of 6 · Carries over 2 of 4 · Rec yds over 2 of 5 · Receptions over 4 of 6 · Rush+Rec yds over 3 of 6. A handful of games says little: books move the line to his recent form, which is why streaks like these rarely carry on.

Splits

What he's averaged, cut a few ways: a description of past games, not a forecast. Home and road cover this season and last, leaving out neutral sites.

SplitGamesRush ydsCarriesRec ydsReceptionsRush+Rec yds
This season516.64.89.61.226.2
Last season221.57.019.02.540.5
Last 101021.56.017.02.338.5
At home419.36.316.01.535.3
On the road210.04.55.52.015.5

Against Giants

His last 4 games against his next opponent, newest first, back through the seasons on file. A few games against one team is a small sample, and rosters change between seasons.

GameRoleRush ydsCarriesRec ydsReceptionsRush+Rec yds
Oct 11 vs NYG1 targets, 3 carries-1315114
Sep 7 vs NYG3 targets, 6 carries26/ 28.56/ 6.531/ 21.53/ 2.557/ 54.5
Nov 3 @ NYG4 targets, 11 carries42/ 49.511/ 12.541/ 19.53/ 3.583/ 79.5
Sep 15 vs NYG3 targets, 8 carries388/ 5.547385
Average, these 4 games26.37.033.52.559.8