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NFL · 2026

Atlanta Falcons

3-6 · #19 of 32 by Elo

Next gamevsKC· Playoffs: 28% with a win, 14% with a loss38%to win
MatchupWhat if they win out?

Elo rating

1443

#19 of 32 · 1500 is average

Market rating

1506

#17 of 32 by recent lines

This season

−19

Elo change since opening night

Forecasts on their games

56%

5–4 this season

Offense

−1.0 pts

#22 of 32 · scored a game above average

Defense

−1.0 pts

#21 of 32 · allowed a game below average

By the numbers

This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are. Home and road leave out their neutral-site game.

Points scored
20.9
23rd of 32
Points allowed
24.8
20th fewest of 32
Margin
−3.9
23rd of 32
Yards per play
5.48
14th of 32
Yards allowed per play
5.38
19th of 32
At home
1–3
19th of 32
On the road
2–2
14th of 32
Opponent Elo
1543
3rd toughest of 32

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works

Projected record

7-10

Now 3-6 · middle 80%: 5–9 wins

Make the playoffs

20%

Division: 20% · Top seed: <1%
About 9 wins usually gets them in

Reach the Super Bowl

1%

Win it all

<1%

In 32 of 10,000 simulations

Playoff chances this season

Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 20%.

0%50%100%Nov 3Nov 11

Upcoming

Forecasts for their next games. Their next 2 opponents average 1587 Elo, the 2nd-toughest stretch of the league's 32.

CBS

Chiefs

6-2

62%

Falcons

3-6

38%
Pick KCSolidLine KC -3.5
Fox

Falcons

3-6

20%

Vikings

6-2

80%
Pick MINStrongPre-line forecast

Players

Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.

Rating history

Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.

Falcons
13501400145015001550league averageSepDecMarJunSep

Against the line

This season, against each game's closing spread and total.

Against the spread
3–6
Last 10
3–6
As the favorite
0–1
As the underdog
3–5
Overs–unders
4–5
Overs–unders, last 10
4–5

Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.

Recent results

Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.

Last 10, oldest first: W L L W W L L W L L

Injury report

Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.

  • Khalil Herbert RB

    Active

    Herbert carried the ball once for seven yards and caught two of his three targets for two yards during Atlanta's loss to the Bengals on Sunday.

  • Olamide Zaccheaus WR

    Active

    Zaccheaus caught one of three targets for five yards during the Falcons' 34-17 loss to the Bengals on Sunday in Madrid. He also returned one kickoff for 28 yards and returned two punts for minus-three yards.

  • Jahan Dotson WR

    Active

    Dotson caught two passes for 16 yards on two targets in Sunday's 34-17 loss to the Bengals.

  • Andrew Vorhees G

    Active

    The Ravens traded Vorhees and a conditional 2028 sixth-round pick to the Falcons on Tuesday in exchange for Ryan Neuzil, Jamison Hensley of ESPN.com reports.

  • Zachariah Branch WR

    Doubtful

    doubtful

  • Jack Strand QB

    Active

  • Andy Dalton QB

    Active

  • Robert Longerbeam CB

    Active

  • Billy Bowman Jr. CB

    Active

  • Kyle Pitts Sr. TE

    Active

    Pitts caught three of five targets for 23 yards in Sunday's 34-17 loss to the Bengals.

  • Michael Penix Jr. QB

    Active

    Penix completed 20 of 31 passes for 162 yards and a touchdown with an interception in Sunday's 34-17 loss to Cincinnati. He added 50 rushing yards on three carries.

  • Drake London WR

    Active

    London caught all five of his targets for 68 yards in Sunday's 34-17 loss to the Bengals.

  • Bijan Robinson RB

    Active

    Robinson carried the ball 19 times for 100 yards and a touchdown and caught six of seven targets for 47 yards in Sunday's 34-17 loss to the Bengals.

  • Yasir Abdullah LB

    Active

    Abdullah (hamstring) is active for Sunday's game versus the Bengals in Madrid, Will McFadden of the Falcons' official site reports.

  • James Pearce Jr. LB

    Active

    Pearce (back) is listed as active Sunday versus the Bengals in Madrid, Will McFadden of the Falcons' official site reports.

  • Divine Deablo LB

    Active

    Deablo (forearm) is active for Sunday's game against the Bengals in Madrid, Will McFadden of the Falcons' official site reports.

  • Beaux Collins WR

    Active

    Collins (hip) is listed as active Sunday against the Bengals in Madrid, Will McFadden of the Falcons' official site reports.

  • Cameron Williams OL

    Injured Reserve

    Williams (ankle), who remains on IR, has been ruled out for Sunday's clash against Cincinnati, Will McFadden of Atlanta's official site reports.

  • Brian Robinson Jr. RB

    Injured Reserve

    Robinson (hamstring) was placed on injured reserve Saturday, Marc Raimondi of ESPN.com reports.

  • Samson Ebukam DE

    Injured Reserve

    Ebukam (hamstring) was placed on injured reserve by the Falcons on Tuesday, Tori McElhaney of the team's official website reports.