NFL · Atlanta Falcons
Michael Penix Jr.
QB · 31 attempts
ActivePenix completed 20 of 31 passes for 162 yards and a touchdown with an interception in Sunday's 34-17 loss to Cincinnati. He added 50 rushing yards on three carries.
Next: KC @ ATL
. Over chances follow the book's number with its margin removed; our projection and model chance sit beside it.
| Stat | Proj | L5 | Line | L10 | Over | Model | Parlay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass yds | 212.9 | 193.0 | 214.5 | 5/10 games over this line | 49%* | 43% | |
| Completions | 19.2 | 18.2 | 19.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 49%* | 44% | |
| Pass att | 30.6 | 30.8 | 31.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 49%* | 43% | |
| Pass TDs | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 49%* | 37% | |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 49%* | 41% | |
| Pass+Rush yds | 225.2 | 206.8 | 223.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 49%* | 45% | |
| Rush yds | 12.3 | 13.8 | 6.5 | 5/10 games over this line | 50%* | 52% | |
| Carries | 2.9 | 3.2 | — | — | — | — | No line |
Any line
The chance he clears other lines next game, like the alternate lines books sell (25+ points and so on).
- 150+87%
- 200+59%
- Over 214.5DraftKings line49%
- 250+30%
- 300+12%
- 350+4%
Read off the book's line and its chance, with how much this stat usually spreads around it. Checked on later games the fit never saw: lines put at about 17% went over 15% of the time in the NBA, 16% in the NHL and 14% in the NFL (overs ran a little short in that stretch, main lines included), and where the book posted alternate lines of its own, its prices and these chances were about even. Alternate lines carry no price here: enter your book's price on the parlay page.
Recent games
Newest first. Each stat next to the book's main line that game, where one is on file: green went over, red went under.
Bars are what he did; the dark tick is that game's line (green went over, red under); the dashed line is his next game's line.
| Game | Role | Pass yds | Completions | Pass att | Pass TDs | Interceptions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 vs CIN | 3 carries | 162 | 20 | 31 | 1 | 1 |
| Nov 1 @ TB | 5 carries | 125 | 8 | 24 | 0 | 4 |
| Oct 25 vs SF | 5 carries | 213 | 25 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| Oct 18 vs CHI | 1 carries | 225 | 19 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| Oct 11 vs BAL | 2 carries | 240 | 19 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 5 @ NO | 2 carries | 223 | 15 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 24 @ GB | 2 carries | 256 | 18 | 25 | 1 | 1 |
| Nov 16 vs CAR | 1 carries | 175/ 226.5 | 13/ 19.5 | 16/ 31.5 | 0/ 1.5 | 0/ 0.5 |
| Nov 9 @ IND | 1 carries | 177/ 239.5 | 12/ 22.5 | 28/ 35.5 | 1/ 1.5 | 0/ 0.5 |
| Nov 2 @ NE | 2 carries | 221/ 225.5 | 22/ 19.5 | 37/ 32.5 | 3/ 1.5 | 0 |
| Oct 19 @ SF | 2 carries | 241/ 220.5 | 21/ 19.5 | 38/ 30.5 | 1/ 1.5 | 0/ 0.5 |
| Oct 13 vs BUF | 2 carries | 250/ 226.5 | 20/ 20.5 | 32/ 31.5 | 1/ 1.5 | 0 |
| This season, 7 games | 206.3 | 17.7 | 28.4 | 1.4 | 0.9 | |
| Average, these 12 games | 209.0 | 17.7 | 29.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | |
Against the line in these games: Pass yds over 2 of 5 · Completions over 2 of 5 · Pass att over 3 of 5 · Pass TDs over 1 of 5 · Interceptions over 0 of 3. A handful of games says little: books move the line to his recent form, which is why streaks like these rarely carry on.
Splits
What he's averaged, cut a few ways: a description of past games, not a forecast. Home and road cover this season and last, leaving out neutral sites.
| Split | Games | Pass yds | Completions | Pass att | Pass TDs | Interceptions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | 7 | 206.3 | 17.7 | 28.4 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Last season | 9 | 220.2 | 18.4 | 30.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 201.7 | 17.1 | 28.0 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| At home | 7 | 244.9 | 20.4 | 30.7 | 1.6 | 0.1 |
| On the road | 7 | 196.1 | 16.4 | 28.7 | 0.9 | 1.0 |