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NBA power rankings

Elo rating

1612

#7 of 30 · 1500 is average

Market rating

1631

#4 of 30 by recent lines

This season

+45

Elo change since opening night

Forecasts on their games

60%

6–4 this season

Offense

−0.2 pts

#18 of 30 · scored a game above average

Defense

+4.7 pts

#4 of 30 · allowed a game below average

By the numbers

This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are.

Points scored
112.7
17th of 30
Points allowed
104.6
4th fewest of 30
Margin
+8.1
7th of 30
Offense rating
112.3
15th of 30
Defense rating
104.2
3rd of 30
Pace
100.2
24th of 30
At home
3–2
12th of 30
On the road
4–1
6th of 30
Opponent Elo
1505
17th toughest of 30

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026-27 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works

Projected record

55-27

Now 7-3 · middle 80%: 50–61 wins

Make the playoffs

>99%

Play-in: 1%
About 44 wins usually gets them in

Reach the NBA Finals

21%

Win it all

8%

In 804 of 10,000 simulations

Playoff chances this season

Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 100%.

0%50%100%Nov 3Nov 11

Upcoming

Forecasts for their next games. Their next 5 opponents average 1480 Elo, the 11th-easiest stretch of the league's 30.

Players

Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.

Rating history

Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.

Pistons
145015001550160016501700league averageNovJanMarMayJulSepNov

Against the line

This season, against each game's closing spread and total.

Against the spread
6–3
Last 10
6–3
As the favorite
5–2
As the underdog
1–1
Overs–unders
6–3
Overs–unders, last 10
6–3

Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.

Recent results

Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.

Injury report

Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.

  • Jalen Duren C

    −32 EloOut

    24 min a game when healthy · 26.6 Game Score per 48

    Duren (hamstring) has begun on-court activity and will be re-evaluated in two weeks, Hunter Patterson of The Athletic reports.

  • Isaiah Joe G

    −5 EloOut

    11 min a game when healthy · 21.6 Game Score per 48

    Joe (hip) is out for Monday against the Wizards.