
NBA · 2026-27
Cleveland Cavaliers
5-6 · #10 of 30 by Elo
Elo rating
1548
#10 of 30 · 1500 is average
Market rating
1563
#9 of 30 by recent lines
This season
−9
Elo change since opening night
Forecasts on their games
64%
7–4 this season
Offense
+2.1 pts
#6 of 30 · scored a game above average
Defense
−0.5 pts
#16 of 30 · allowed a game below average
By the numbers
This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are.
- Points scored
- 116.5
- 10th of 30
- Points allowed
- 115.0
- 19th fewest of 30
- Margin
- +1.5
- 15th of 30
- Offense rating
- 113.3
- 13th of 30
- Defense rating
- 111.8
- 15th of 30
- Pace
- 102.0
- 10th of 30
- Last 10
- 5–5
- 13th of 27
- At home
- 4–2
- 8th of 30
- On the road
- 1–4
- 22nd of 30
- Opponent Elo
- 1518
- 11th toughest of 30
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026-27 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works
Projected record
47-35
Now 5-6 · middle 80%: 41–53 wins
Make the playoffs
92%
Play-in: 28%
About 39 wins usually gets them in
Reach the NBA Finals
4%
Win it all
1%
In 102 of 10,000 simulations
Playoff chances this season
Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 92%.
Upcoming
Forecasts for their next games. Their next 5 opponents average 1480 Elo, the 12th-easiest stretch of the league's 30.
Cavaliers
5-6
Knicks
6-4
Cavaliers
5-6
Heat
5-6
Mavericks
7-4
Cavaliers
5-6
Bulls
1-8
Cavaliers
5-6
Grizzlies
7-3
Cavaliers
5-6
Pacers
3-8
Cavaliers
5-6
Players
Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.
Rating history
Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.
Against the line
This season, against each game's closing spread and total.
- Against the spread
- 2–7
- Last 10
- 2–7
- As the favorite
- 1–5
- As the underdog
- 1–2
- Overs–unders
- 5–4
- Overs–unders, last 10
- 5–4
Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.
Recent results
Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.
Last 10, oldest first: W W W L W L L W L L
- L
@ CHA 112–124Picked CLE 72%Nov 9Miss - L
vs NY 97–109Picked NY 60%Nov 7Hit - W
vs PHI 119–95Picked PHI 55%Nov 6Miss - L
@ OKC 116–124Picked OKC 55%Nov 4Hit - L
vs OKC 112–117Picked CLE 61%Nov 2Miss - W
@ MIL 136–111Picked CLE 76%Oct 31Hit - L
@ ATL 111–114Picked CLE 53%Oct 29Miss - W
vs WSH 121–111Picked CLE 77%Oct 28Hit - W
vs MIN 127–125Picked CLE 61%Oct 26Hit - W
vs BKN 125–121Picked CLE 80%Oct 24Hit
Injury report
Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.
Sam Merrill G
OutMerrill (elbow) is listed as out for Wednesday's game against the Knicks.
Jaylon Tyson G
OutTyson (ankle) is questionable to face the Knicks on Wednesday.