NHL · 2026-27
Montreal Canadiens
11-3-4 · #8 of 32 by Elo
Elo rating
1535
#8 of 32 · 1500 is average
Market rating
1504
#15 of 32 by recent lines
This season
+7
Elo change since opening night
Forecasts on their games
56%
10–8 this season
By the numbers
This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are. Overtime and shootout losses count as losses in these records.
- Goals scored
- 3.4
- 11th of 32
- Goals allowed
- 3.1
- 12th fewest of 32
- Margin
- +0.4
- 10th of 32
- Shot share
- 49.7%
- 14th of 32
- Save percentage
- 89.6%
- 11th of 32
- Last 10
- 7–3
- 2nd of 32
- At home
- 5–5
- 20th of 32
- On the road
- 6–2
- 2nd of 32
- Opponent Elo
- 1498
- 19th toughest of 32
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026-27 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works
Projected record
44-29-11
Now 11-3-4 · middle 80%: 39–50 wins
Make the playoffs
73%
Division: 16%
About 95 points usually gets them in
Reach the Stanley Cup Final
6%
Win it all
3%
In 292 of 10,000 simulations
Playoff chances this season
Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 73%.
Upcoming
Forecasts for their next games. Their next 5 opponents average 1541 Elo, the toughest stretch of the league's 32.
Canadiens
11-3-4
Bruins
13-4-1
Avalanche
11-6-2
Canadiens
11-3-4
Canadiens
11-3-4
Rangers
10-8-1
Canadiens
11-3-4
Devils
13-6-0
Canadiens
11-3-4
Hurricanes
14-3-2
Flyers
5-10-5
Canadiens
11-3-4
Players
Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.
- Lane Hutson
- Noah Dobson
- Alexandre Carrier
- Cole Caufield
- Juraj Slafkovsky
- Kaiden Guhle
- Phillip Danault
- Alex Newhook
- Jake Evans
- Zack Bolduc
- Nick Suzuki
- Chris Kreider
- Josh Anderson
- Alexandre Texier
- Jacob Fowler
- Arber Xhekaj
- Mike Matheson
- Kirby Dach
- Jakub Dobes
- Adam Engstrom
- Oliver Kapanen
- Florian Xhekaj
- Owen Beck
- Ivan Demidov
Rating history
Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.
Against the line
This season, against each game's closing spread and total.
- Puck line
- 7–10
- Last 10
- 5–5
- As the favorite
- 1–9
- As the underdog
- 6–1
- Overs–unders
- 11–6
- Overs–unders, last 10
- 6–4
Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.
Recent results
Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.
Last 10, oldest first: L W W W W W L W W L
- L
vs MIN 1–2Picked MIN 53%Nov 10Hit - W
@ TOR 4–2Picked MTL 51%Nov 7Hit - W
vs UTA 5–4Picked UTA 53%Nov 5Miss - L
vs WPG 4–5Picked MTL 61%Nov 3Miss - W
vs PIT 5–4Picked MTL 53%Oct 31Hit - W
@ DAL 5–2Picked DAL 59%Oct 29Miss - W
@ STL 2–0Picked STL 52%Oct 27Miss - W@ WPG 2–1Picked MTL 51%Oct 25Hit
- W
@ CHI 4–1Picked MTL 60%Oct 23Hit - L
vs SJ 3–4Picked MTL 64%Oct 20Miss
Injury report
Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.
Mike Matheson D
−3 EloOutLed team in points 1/10 recent games
Matheson (lower body) is expected to miss two weeks, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports Saturday.
Ivan Demidov RW
Injured ReserveDemidov (foot) skated Tuesday and could resume training with the team next week, Patrick Friolet of RDS reports.
Sam Montembeault G
Injured ReserveMontembeault (lower body) is considered day-to-day, according to Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports on Saturday.
Bryce Pickford D
Injured Reserveir-nr
Lucas Condotta LW
Injured Reserveir-nr