NFL · 2026

Detroit Lions

6-2 · #9 of 32 by Elo

Next gamevs

NE· Sun, Nov 15 · 9:30 AM ETPlayoffs: 84% with a win, 67% with a loss58%to win

Matchup What if they win out?

Elo rating

1598

#9 of 32 · 1500 is average

Market rating

1571

#11 of 32 by recent lines

This season

+55

Elo change since opening night

Forecasts on their games

88%

7–1 this season

Offense

+3.8 pts

#2 of 32 · scored a game above average

Defense

−0.6 pts

#19 of 32 · allowed a game below average

By the numbers

This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are.

Points scored: 27.8; 5th of 32
Points allowed: 23.6; 17th fewest of 32
Margin: +4.1; 9th of 32
Yards per play: 5.81; 7th of 32
Yards allowed per play: 5.42; 21st of 32
At home: 4–0; 1st of 32
On the road: 2–2; 14th of 32
Opponent Elo: 1474; 26th toughest of 32

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works

Projected record

11-6

Now 6-2 · middle 80%: 9–13 wins

Make the playoffs

77%

Division: 21% · Top seed: 9%
About 10 wins usually gets them in

Reach the Super Bowl

11%

Win it all

In 482 of 10,000 simulations

Playoff chances this season

Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 77%.

Upcoming

Forecasts for their next games. Their next 3 opponents average 1579 Elo, the 4th-toughest stretch of the league's 32.

Sun, Nov 15 · 9:30 AM ETNFL Munich Game

Patriots

5-4

42%

Lions

6-2

58%

Pick DETLeanLine DET -2.5

Sun, Nov 22 · 1:00 PM ETFox

Buccaneers

3-6

36%

Lions

6-2

64%

Pick DETSolidLine DET -3.5

Thu, Nov 26 · 1:00 PM ETCBS

Bears

7-2

56%

Lions

6-2

44%

Pick CHILeanPre-line forecast

Players

Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.

Rating history

Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.

Lions

Against the line

This season, against each game's closing spread and total.

Against the spread: 3–3–2
Last 10: 3–3–2
As the favorite: 3–2–2
As the underdog: 0–1
Overs–unders: 5–3
Overs–unders, last 10: 5–3

Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.

Recent results

Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.

Injury report

Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.

Isaac TeSlaa WR
Active
TeSlaa registered one catch for nine yards on two targets in Sunday's 19-9 win over Miami.
Sione Vaki RB
Active
Vaki turned three carries into 14 yards and hauled in both of his targets for seven yards during the Lions'
Kerby Joseph S
Out
Lions head coach Dan Campbell ruled Joseph (knee) out for Sunday's game against the Patriots, Nolan Bianchi of The Detroit News reports.
Sam LaPorta TE
Active
The Lions have received trade calls on LaPorta leading up to Tuesday's deadline, but the team prefers to keep him with the hope of signing the tight end to a long-term deal, Jeremy Fowler of ESPN.com reports.
DJ Wonnum LB
Questionable
questionable
D.J. Reed CB
Questionable
questionable
Jacob Saylors RB
Questionable
questionable
Cade Mays C
Questionable
questionable
Andre Cisco S
Active
The Lions acquired Cisco from the Jets on Monday in exchange for a 2028 sixth-round pick, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.
Ahmed Hassanein DE
Active
Mekhi Wingo DT
Active
Jake Bates PK
Active
Bates went 4-for-4 on field-goal attempts and made his only extra-point try during Sunday's 19-9 win over the Dolphins.
Jameson Williams WR
Active
Williams brought in one of two targets for 31 yards and rushed once for nine yards in the Lions' 19-9 win over the Dolphins on Sunday.
Jared Goff QB
Active
Goff completed 17 of 25 passes for 170 yards with no touchdowns and one interception while also rushing four times for five yards in the Lions' 19-9 win over the Dolphins on Sunday.
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
Active
St. Brown brought in eight of 10 targets for 86 yards in the Lions' 19-9 win over the Dolphins on Sunday.
Jahmyr Gibbs RB
Active
Gibbs rushed 20 times for 74 yards and a touchdown and failed to bring in his only target in the Lions' 19-9 win over the Dolphins on Sunday.
Jack Campbell LB
Injured Reserve
The Lions moved Campbell (neck) to injured reserve Saturday.
Brian Branch S
Active
Branch (concussion) does not have any injury designation ahead of Sunday's game against the Dolphins.
Amen Ogbongbemiga LB
Active
Jimmy Rolder LB
Injured Reserve
Rolder (hamstring) was placed on injured reserve Tuesday.