Skip to content
ShadowCryptsPredictions
Live
All player props

NFL · Detroit Lions

Sam LaPorta

WR/TE · 5.5 targets

ActiveThe Lions have received trade calls on LaPorta leading up to Tuesday's deadline, but the team prefers to keep him with the hope of signing the tight end to a long-term deal, Jeremy Fowler of ESPN.com reports.

Compare

Next: NE @ DET

. Over chances follow the book's number with its margin removed; our projection and model chance sit beside it.

StatProjLineL10OverParlay
Rush yds0.5———No line
Carries0.1———No line
Rec yds45.443.57/10 games over this line49%*
Receptions4.04.56/10 games over this line49%*
Rush+Rec yds45.8———No line

Any line

The chance he clears other lines next game, like the alternate lines books sell (25+ points and so on).

  • 25+77%
  • Over 43.5DraftKings line49%
  • 50+42%
  • 75+19%
  • 100+8%
  • 125+3%

Read off the book's line and its chance, with how much this stat usually spreads around it. Checked on later games the fit never saw: lines put at about 17% went over 15% of the time in the NBA, 16% in the NHL and 14% in the NFL (overs ran a little short in that stretch, main lines included), and where the book posted alternate lines of its own, its prices and these chances were about even. Alternate lines carry no price here: enter your book's price on the parlay page.

Recent games

Newest first. Each stat next to the book's main line that game, where one is on file: green went over, red went under.

0120Oct 12@ KC0Oct 20vs TB0Nov 2vs MIN0Nov 9@ WSH0Sep 13vs NO0Sep 17@ BUF0Sep 27vs NYJ0Oct 4@ CAR0Oct 11@ ARI0Oct 25vs GB2Nov 1vs MIN0Nov 8@ MIA

Bars are what he did; the dark tick is that game's line (green went over, red under); the dashed line is his next game's line.

GameRoleRush ydsCarriesRec ydsReceptionsRush+Rec yds
Nov 8 @ MIA5 targets, 0 carries0032432
Nov 1 vs MIN5 targets, 1 carries2133335
Oct 25 vs GB2 targets, 0 carries0018118
Oct 11 @ ARI5 targets, 0 carries0088588
Oct 4 @ CAR13 targets, 0 carries0084884
Sep 27 vs NYJ4 targets, 0 carries0044344
Sep 17 @ BUF7 targets, 0 carries0052652
Sep 13 vs NO8 targets, 0 carries0048548
Nov 9 @ WSH5 targets, 0 carries0053/ 45.55/ 4.553
Nov 2 vs MIN8 targets, 0 carries0097/ 43.5697
Oct 20 vs TB3 targets, 0 carries0015/ 50.53/ 4.515
Oct 12 @ KC6 targets, 0 carries0055/ 44.55/ 4.555
This season, 8 games0.30.149.94.450.1
Average, these 12 games0.20.151.64.551.8

Against the line in these games: Rec yds over 3 of 4 · Receptions over 2 of 3. A handful of games says little: books move the line to his recent form, which is why streaks like these rarely carry on.

Splits

What he's averaged, cut a few ways: a description of past games, not a forecast. Home and road cover this season and last, leaving out neutral sites.

SplitGamesRush ydsCarriesRec ydsReceptionsRush+Rec yds
This season80.30.149.94.450.1
Last season90.00.054.34.454.3
Last 10100.20.154.94.655.1
At home80.30.140.03.440.3
On the road90.00.063.15.363.1