NFL · 2026

Cleveland Browns

5-4 · #20 of 32 by Elo

Next gamevs

HOU· Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ETPlayoffs: 46% with a win, 21% with a loss34%to win

Matchup What if they win out?

Elo rating

1436

#20 of 32 · 1500 is average

Market rating

1394

#27 of 32 by recent lines

This season

Elo change since opening night

Forecasts on their games

56%

5–4 this season

Offense

−3.3 pts

#32 of 32 · scored a game above average

Defense

0.0 pts

#17 of 32 · allowed a game below average

By the numbers

This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are.

Points scored: 17.9; 29th of 32
Points allowed: 21.8; 13th fewest of 32
Margin: −3.9; 23rd of 32
Yards per play: 5.00; 23rd of 32
Yards allowed per play: 5.22; 12th of 32
At home: 3–0; 1st of 32
On the road: 2–4; 23rd of 32
Opponent Elo: 1472; 27th toughest of 32

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works

Projected record

9-8

Now 5-4 · middle 80%: 7–10 wins

Make the playoffs

31%

Division: 3% · Top seed: <1%
About 10 wins usually gets them in

Reach the Super Bowl

Win it all

<1%

In 18 of 10,000 simulations

Playoff chances this season

Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 31%.

Upcoming

Forecasts for their next games. Their next 2 opponents average 1449 Elo, the 6th-easiest stretch of the league's 32.

Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ETFox

Texans

3-5

66%

Browns

5-4

34%

Pick HOUSolidLine HOU -4.5

Sun, Nov 29 · 1:00 PM ETFox

Raiders

4-5

24%

Browns

5-4

76%

Pick CLEStrongPre-line forecast

Players

Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.

Rating history

Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.

Browns

Against the line

This season, against each game's closing spread and total.

Against the spread: 6–3
Last 10: 6–3
As the favorite: 1–0
As the underdog: 5–3
Overs–unders: 5–4
Overs–unders, last 10: 5–4

Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.

Recent results

Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.

Injury report

Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.

Deshaun Watson QB
−13 EloQuestionable
Worth 36 Elo more than Shedeur Sanders
questionable
Maliek Collins DT
Questionable
questionable
Noah Igbinoghene CB
Active
Taylen Green QB
Active
Parker Brailsford C
Active
Justin Jefferson LB
Active
Andre Szmyt PK
Active
Szmyt went 3-for-3 on field-goal attempts and made his only PAT during Sunday's 23-22 overtime loss to New Orleans.
Jerry Jeudy WR
Active
Jeudy caught two of four targets for 37 yards in Sunday's 23-22 overtime loss to the Saints.
Dylan Sampson RB
Active
Sampson rushed eight times for 21 yards while catching three of six targets for 27 yards during Sunday's 23-22 overtime loss against the Saints.
Harold Fannin Jr. TE
Active
Fannin caught both his targets for 42 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 23-22 overtime loss to the Saints.
KC Concepcion WR
Active
Concepcion caught four of six targets for 85 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 23-22 overtime loss to the Saints. He added three yards on his only carry.
Denzel Boston WR
Active
Boston caught six of seven targets for 98 yards in Sunday's 23-22 overtime loss to the Saints.
Quinshon Judkins RB
Active
Judkins carried the ball 15 times for 43 yards and caught his only target for two yards in Sunday's 23-22 overtime loss to the Saints.
Shedeur Sanders QB
Active
Sanders completed 19 of 31 passes for 297 yards and two touchdowns in Sunday's 23-22 overtime loss to the Saints. He added 28 yards on 10 carries.
Michael Burton FB
Active
Burton (calf) has returned to Sunday's matchup against New Orleans, Daniel Oyefusi of ESPN.com reports.
Dillon Gabriel QB
Active
Gabriel "will serve as the backup quarterback" Sunday against the Saints, Jeremy Fowler of ESPN.com reports.
Quincy Williams LB
Active
Williams has no injury designation ahead of Sunday's game against the Saints, Scott Petrak of the Elyria Chronicle-Telegram reports.
Carson Schwesinger LB
Active
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren S
Active
Austin Barber OT
Active