Next: HOU @ CLE
. Over chances follow the book's number with its margin removed; our projection and model chance sit beside it.
| Stat | Proj | L5 | Line | L10 | Over | Model | Parlay |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pass yds | 233.8 | 243.8 | — | — | — | — | No line |
| Completions | 21.3 | 21.4 | 19.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 50%* | 55% | |
| Pass att | 32.9 | 33.4 | 30.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 51%* | 56% | |
| Pass TDs | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 5/10 games over this line | 51%* | 63% | |
| Interceptions | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 3/10 games over this line | 48%* | 34% | |
| Pass+Rush yds | 257.5 | 266.2 | 240.5 | 5/10 games over this line | 50%* | 51% | |
| Rush yds | 23.7 | 22.4 | 27.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 48%* | 32% | |
| Carries | 5.6 | 5.4 | 6.5 | 4/10 games over this line | 48%* | 34% |
Any line
The chance he clears other lines next game, like the alternate lines books sell (25+ points and so on).
- 15+84%
- Over 19.5DraftKings line50%
- 25+20%
- 30+5%
Read off the book's line and its chance, with how much this stat usually spreads around it. Checked on later games the fit never saw: lines put at about 17% went over 15% of the time in the NBA, 16% in the NHL and 14% in the NFL (overs ran a little short in that stretch, main lines included), and where the book posted alternate lines of its own, its prices and these chances were about even. Alternate lines carry no price here: enter your book's price on the parlay page.
Recent games
Newest first. Each stat next to the book's main line that game, where one is on file: green went over, red went under.
Bars are what he did; the dark tick is that game's line (green went over, red under); the dashed line is his next game's line.
| Game | Role | Pass yds | Completions | Pass att | Pass TDs | Interceptions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 @ PIT | 3 carries | 324 | 27 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 25 @ TEN | 3 carries | 308 | 25 | 36 | 0 | 1 |
| Oct 18 vs BAL | 8 carries | 164 | 16 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 11 @ NYJ | 6 carries | 155 | 15 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 1 vs PIT | 7 carries | 268 | 24 | 33 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 27 vs CAR | 11 carries | 144 | 16 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| Sep 20 @ TB | 7 carries | 238 | 24 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| Sep 13 @ JAX | 6 carries | 205 | 16 | 22 | 1 | 1 |
| Oct 20 vs CIN | 2 carries | 128/ 174.5 | 15 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 13 @ PHI | 4 carries | 168/ 174.5 | 16/ 17.5 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 6 @ WSH | 3 carries | 125/ 224.5 | 15/ 18.5 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 29 @ LV | 8 carries | 176/ 199.5 | 24 | 32 | 1 | 1 |
| This season, 8 games | 225.8 | 20.4 | 31.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | |
| Average, these 12 games | 200.3 | 19.4 | 29.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | |
Against the line in these games: Pass yds over 0 of 4. A handful of games says little: books move the line to his recent form, which is why streaks like these rarely carry on.
Splits
What he's averaged, cut a few ways: a description of past games, not a forecast. Home and road cover this season and last, leaving out neutral sites.
| Split | Games | Pass yds | Completions | Pass att | Pass TDs | Interceptions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | 8 | 225.8 | 20.4 | 31.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 210.2 | 19.4 | 28.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| At home | 3 | 192.0 | 18.7 | 29.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| On the road | 5 | 246.0 | 21.4 | 32.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 |