NFL · 2026

Houston Texans

3-5 · #15 of 32 by Elo

Next game@

CLE· Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ETPlayoffs: 37% with a win, 14% with a loss66%to win

Matchup What if they win out?

Elo rating

1524

#15 of 32 · 1500 is average

Market rating

1579

#9 of 32 by recent lines

This season

−85

Elo change since opening night

Forecasts on their games

25%

2–6 this season

Offense

+1.1 pts

#10 of 32 · scored a game above average

Defense

+1.3 pts

#6 of 32 · allowed a game below average

By the numbers

This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are. Home and road leave out their neutral-site game.

Points scored: 26.1; 9th of 32
Points allowed: 24.0; 18th fewest of 32
Margin: +2.1; 14th of 32
Yards per play: 5.75; 8th of 32
Yards allowed per play: 5.27; 15th of 32
At home: 0–4; 28th of 32
On the road: 2–1; 6th of 32
Opponent Elo: 1480; 23rd toughest of 32

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works

Projected record

8-9

Now 3-5 · middle 80%: 7–10 wins

Make the playoffs

28%

Division: 4% · Top seed: <1%
About 10 wins usually gets them in

Reach the Super Bowl

Win it all

In 63 of 10,000 simulations

Playoff chances this season

Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 28%.

Upcoming

Forecasts for their next games. Their next 3 opponents average 1438 Elo, the 4th-easiest stretch of the league's 32.

Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ETFox

Texans

3-5

66%

Browns

5-4

34%

Pick HOUSolidLine HOU -4.5

Thu, Nov 19 · 8:15 PM ETPrime Video

Colts

2-7

22%

Texans

3-5

78%

Pick HOUStrongLine HOU -10

Sun, Nov 29 · 1:00 PM ETCBS

Ravens

4-5

28%

Texans

3-5

72%

Pick HOUStrongPre-line forecast

Players

Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.

Rating history

Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.

Texans

Against the line

This season, against each game's closing spread and total.

Against the spread: 3–5
Last 10: 3–5
As the favorite: 2–4
As the underdog: 1–1
Overs–unders: 5–3
Overs–unders, last 10: 5–3

Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.

Recent results

Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.

Injury report

Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.

Foster Moreau TE
Active
Moreau didn't log any targets or touches Sunday in a 44-22 win against the Chargers.
Dare Ogunbowale RB
Active
Ogunbowale caught his only target for a three-yard gain Sunday in a 44-22 win over the Chargers.
David Montgomery RB
Questionable
questionable
Reed Blankenship S
Questionable
questionable
Cade Stover TE
Active
Nate Thomas OT
Active
Braden Smith OT
Active
Febechi Nwaiwu G
Active
Ka'imi Fairbairn PK
Active
Fairbairn went 3-for-3 on field-goal tries and made all five of his PATs during Sunday's 44-22 win over the Chargers.
Woody Marks RB
Active
Marks turned 18 carries into 70 yards and hauled in one of four targets for four yards during Sunday's 44-22 road win over the Chargers.
Dalton Schultz TE
Active
Schultz caught two of four targets for 42 yards in Sunday's 44-22 win over the Chargers.
Marvin Harrison Jr. WR
Active
Harrison caught two of three targets for 20 yards during Sunday's 44-22 win over the Chargers.
Tank Dell WR
Active
Dell turned a team-high nine targets into four catches for 105 yards and one touchdown during Sunday's 44-22 road victory against the Chargers
Kayshon Boutte WR
Active
Boutte erupted for four catches (on five targets) for 125 yards and two touchdowns during Sunday's 44-22 road win against the Chargers.
Xavier Hutchinson WR
Active
Hutchinson caught three of five targets for 29 yards and a touchdown and added a 28-yard kick return during Sunday's 44-22 win against the Chargers.
Nico Collins WR
Active
Collins corralled all four of his targets for 55 yards and one touchdown during Sunday's 44-22 victory at the Chargers.
C.J. Stroud QB
Active
Stroud completed 21 of 35 passes for 384 yards, five touchdowns and one interception and recorded two carries for 20 yards during Sunday's 44-22 win at the Chargers.
Azeez Al-Shaair LB
Active
Al-Shaair (groin) was a full participant in Thursday's practice.
Brevin Jordan TE
Active
Blake Fisher OT
Active
Fisher (thumb) was a full participant in Wednesday's practice.