
NFL · 2026
Miami Dolphins
1-7 · #28 of 32 by Elo
Elo rating
1372
#28 of 32 · 1500 is average
Market rating
1360
#31 of 32 by recent lines
This season
−96
Elo change since opening night
Forecasts on their games
88%
7–1 this season
Offense
−2.0 pts
#29 of 32 · scored a game above average
Defense
−1.0 pts
#22 of 32 · allowed a game below average
By the numbers
This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are.
- Points scored
- 15.8
- 31st of 32
- Points allowed
- 25.0
- 23rd fewest of 32
- Margin
- −9.3
- 31st of 32
- Yards per play
- 5.04
- 22nd of 32
- Yards allowed per play
- 5.56
- 23rd of 32
- At home
- 0–4
- 28th of 32
- On the road
- 1–3
- 27th of 32
- Opponent Elo
- 1527
- 8th toughest of 32
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works
Projected record
3-14
Now 1-7 · middle 80%: 2–5 wins
Make the playoffs
<1%
Division: <1% · Top seed: <1%
Reach the Super Bowl
<1%
Win it all
<1%
In 1 of 10,000 simulations
Playoff chances this season
Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 0%.
Upcoming
Forecasts for their next games. Their next 3 opponents average 1461 Elo, the 8th-easiest stretch of the league's 32.
Players
Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.
Rating history
Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.
Against the line
This season, against each game's closing spread and total.
- Against the spread
- 4–4
- Last 10
- 4–4
- As the favorite
- —
- As the underdog
- 4–4
- Overs–unders
- 3–5
- Overs–unders, last 10
- 3–5
Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.
Recent results
Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.
Last 10, oldest first: W L L L L L L W L L
- L
vs DET 9–19Picked DET 71%Nov 8Hit - L
vs NE 19–24Picked NE 73%Nov 1Hit - W
@ NYJ 28–25Picked NYJ 66%Oct 25Miss - L
vs CIN 24–31Picked CIN 75%Oct 11Hit - L
@ MIN 10–15Picked MIN 82%Oct 4Hit - L
vs KC 10–24Picked KC 81%Sep 27Hit - L
@ SF 13–35Picked SF 86%Sep 20Hit - L
@ LV 13–27Picked LV 59%Sep 13Hit - L
@ NE 10–38Picked NE 89%Jan 4Hit - W
vs TB 20–17Picked TB 69%Dec 28Miss
Injury report
Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.
Kevin Coleman Jr. WR
ActiveColeman wasn't targeted in Sunday's 19-9 loss to the Lions. He rushed one time for 16 yards.
Chris Bell WR
ActiveBell failed to catch his only target in Sunday's 19-9 loss to the Lions.
Malik Willis QB
Injured Reserveir
Zach Sieler DT
Injured ReserveThe Dolphins placed Sieler (biceps) on injured reserve Tuesday.
Kyle McCord QB
ActiveMcCord will step in as the Dolphins' starting quarterback beginning with Sunday's game at Indianapolis after Miami placed Malik Willis (core) on injured reserve Tuesday, Cameron Wolfe of NFL Network reports.
Jaylen Wright RB
Questionablequestionable
Zane Gonzalez PK
ActiveGonzalez reverted to the Dolphins' practice squad Monday, per the NFL's transaction log.
Kaytron Allen RB
ActiveAllen caught a 46-yard pass in Sunday's 19-9 loss to the Lions. He rushed one time for minus-1 yard.
Christian Haynes G
ActiveMarcellas Dial Jr. CB
ActiveJalen Tolbert WR
ActiveJustin Joly TE
ActiveChukwuebuka Godrick OT
ActiveGreg Dulcich TE
ActiveDulcich caught two of four targets for 14 yards in Sunday's 19-9 loss to the Lions.
Malik Washington WR
ActiveWashington caught two of three targets for 21 yards during Sunday's 19-9 loss to the Lions.
Caleb Douglas WR
ActiveDouglas secured six of eight targets for 70 yards in the Dolphins' 19-9 loss to the Lions on Sunday.
Ollie Gordon II RB
ActiveGordon rushed 16 times for 55 yards and brought in his only target for nine yards in the Dolphins' 19-9 loss to the Lions on Sunday.
Will Kacmarek TE
QuestionableKacmarek is dealing with a quad injury and is questionable to return to Sunday's clash against Detroit.
Malik Herring DE
ActiveHerring (neck) is active for Sunday's game against the Lions.
Kadyn Proctor OT
ActiveProctor (concussion) does not have a designation for Sunday's Week 9 matchup versus Detroit, David Furones of the South Florida Sun Sentinel reports.