Skip to content
ShadowCryptsPredictions
Live
All player props

NFL · Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes

QB · 33 attempts

QuestionableChiefs coach Andy Reid said Monday that Mahomes (elbow) is considered day-to-day as this Sunday's game against the Falcons approaches, Sam McDowell of The Kansas City Star reports.

Compare

Next: KC @ ATL

. Over chances follow the book's number with its margin removed; our projection and model chance sit beside it.

StatProjLineL10OverParlay
Pass yds253.7239.55/10 games over this line50%*
Completions21.821.54/10 games over this line50%*
Pass att33.532.54/10 games over this line50%*
Pass TDs1.61.56/10 games over this line49%*
Interceptions0.70.56/10 games over this line49%*
Pass+Rush yds267.9254.53/10 games over this line50%*
Rush yds14.210.56/10 games over this line49%*
Carries2.9———No line

Any line

The chance he clears other lines next game, like the alternate lines books sell (25+ points and so on).

  • 150+94%
  • 200+73%
  • Over 239.5DraftKings line50%
  • 250+44%
  • 300+21%
  • 350+8%

Read off the book's line and its chance, with how much this stat usually spreads around it. Checked on later games the fit never saw: lines put at about 17% went over 15% of the time in the NBA, 16% in the NHL and 14% in the NFL (overs ran a little short in that stretch, main lines included), and where the book posted alternate lines of its own, its prices and these chances were about even. Alternate lines carry no price here: enter your book's price on the parlay page.

Recent games

Newest first. Each stat next to the book's main line that game, where one is on file: green went over, red went under.

0214428352Nov 23vs IND261Nov 27@ DAL160Dec 7vs HOU189Dec 14vs LAC184Sep 14vs DEN382Sep 20vs IND246Sep 27@ MIA225Oct 4@ LV272Oct 18vs LAC165Oct 25@ SEA321Nov 1@ DEN242Nov 8vs NYJ- - Next line 239.5

Bars are what he did; the dark tick is that game's line (green went over, red under); the dashed line is his next game's line.

GameRolePass ydsCompletionsPass attPass TDsInterceptions
Nov 8 vs NYJ2 carries242233120
Nov 1 @ DEN2 carries321304130
Oct 25 @ SEA2 carries165193301
Oct 18 vs LAC5 carries272233001
Oct 4 @ LV2 carries225153020
Sep 27 @ MIA1 carries246202421
Sep 20 vs IND2 carries382324730
Sep 14 vs DEN7 carries184152721
Dec 14 vs LAC2 carries189162801
Dec 7 vs HOU1 targets, 7 carries160143303
Nov 27 @ DAL3 carries261/ 276.523/ 24.534/ 36.54/ 2.50/ 0.5
Nov 23 vs IND4 carries352/ 276.529/ 24.546/ 36.50/ 1.51/ 0.5
This season, 8 games254.622.132.91.80.5
Average, these 12 games249.921.633.71.50.8

Splits

What he's averaged, cut a few ways: a description of past games, not a forecast. Home and road cover this season and last, leaving out neutral sites.

SplitGamesPass ydsCompletionsPass attPass TDsInterceptions
This season8254.622.132.91.80.5
Last season14256.222.535.91.60.8
Last 1010238.620.732.41.40.8
At home12256.722.233.91.80.8
On the road9254.022.435.41.60.6

Against Falcons

His last game against his next opponent, newest first, back through the seasons on file. A few games against one team is a small sample, and rosters change between seasons.

GameRolePass ydsCompletionsPass attPass TDsInterceptions
Sep 22 @ ATL6 carries21726392/ 1.51