NBA · 2026-27
Toronto Raptors
5-5 · #13 of 30 by Elo
Elo rating
1521
#13 of 30 · 1500 is average
Market rating
1537
#12 of 30 by recent lines
This season
−4
Elo change since opening night
Forecasts on their games
80%
8–2 this season
Offense
+0.6 pts
#14 of 30 · scored a game above average
Defense
+0.8 pts
#11 of 30 · allowed a game below average
By the numbers
This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are.
- Points scored
- 116.6
- 9th of 30
- Points allowed
- 113.3
- 14th fewest of 30
- Margin
- +3.3
- 13th of 30
- Offense rating
- 113.3
- 12th of 30
- Defense rating
- 110.1
- 12th of 30
- Pace
- 102.8
- 4th of 30
- At home
- 2–2
- 14th of 30
- On the road
- 3–3
- 13th of 30
- Opponent Elo
- 1475
- 23rd toughest of 30
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026-27 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works
Projected record
43-39
Now 5-5 · middle 80%: 37–49 wins
Make the playoffs
78%
Play-in: 60%
About 39 wins usually gets them in
Reach the NBA Finals
2%
Win it all
<1%
In 29 of 10,000 simulations
Playoff chances this season
Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 78%.
Upcoming
Forecasts for their next games. Their next 5 opponents average 1561 Elo, the 4th-toughest stretch of the league's 30.
Celtics
9-2
Raptors
5-5
Raptors
5-5
76ers
9-3
Knicks
6-4
Raptors
5-5
Knicks
6-4
Raptors
5-5
Wizards
4-7
Raptors
5-5
Raptors
5-5
Pistons
7-3
Players
Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.
Rating history
Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.
Against the line
This season, against each game's closing spread and total.
- Against the spread
- 5–3
- Last 10
- 5–3
- As the favorite
- 5–2
- As the underdog
- 0–1
- Overs–unders
- 4–4
- Overs–unders, last 10
- 4–4
Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.
Recent results
Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.
Last 10, oldest first: W W L W L L W L W L
- L
vs MEM 102–118Picked TOR 57%Nov 9Miss - W
@ MIL 121–107Picked TOR 70%Nov 6Hit - L
@ DEN 109–128Picked DEN 63%Nov 4Hit - W
@ LAC 125–118Picked TOR 66%Nov 2Hit - L
@ LAL 125–131Picked LAL 63%Nov 1Hit - L
vs ORL 114–121Picked TOR 66%Oct 30Miss - Wvs ORL 129–99Picked TOR 63%Oct 28Hit
- L
@ MIN 94–117Picked MIN 55%Oct 25Hit - W
@ WSH 112–102Picked TOR 74%Oct 23Hit - W
vs CHI 135–92Picked TOR 78%Oct 21Hit
Injury report
Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.
Kawhi Leonard F
−65 EloOut30 min a game when healthy · 31.0 Game Score per 48
Leonard (knee) is continuing the reconditioning process, and another update will be provided in one week, Blake Murphy of Sportsnet.ca reports.
Scottie Barnes F
−33 EloOut35 min a game when healthy · 23.6 Game Score per 48
Barnes (groin) is out for Wednesday's game against Boston.
Immanuel Quickley G
−9 EloDay-To-Day32 min a game when healthy · 21.4 Game Score per 48
Quickley (hamstring) is questionable for Wednesday's game against Boston.
Collin Murray-Boyles F
−4 EloDay-To-Day25 min a game when healthy · 20.2 Game Score per 48
Murray-Boyles (illness) is questionable for Wednesday's game against the Celtics.
Trayce Jackson-Davis F
−1 EloDay-To-Day6 min a game when healthy · 19.2 Game Score per 48
Jackson-Davis is questionable for Wednesday's game against Boston with an illness.
Nate Bittle C
OutBittle (foot) is listed as out for Monday's game against Memphis.