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NBA power rankings

Elo rating

1326

#29 of 30 · 1500 is average

Market rating

1331

#27 of 30 by recent lines

This season

−4

Elo change since opening night

Forecasts on their games

73%

8–3 this season

Offense

−2.0 pts

#24 of 30 · scored a game above average

Defense

−3.1 pts

#24 of 30 · allowed a game below average

By the numbers

This season, regular season, each with its league rank. Scoring and margin are a game; opponent Elo is how strong the teams they've played are.

Points scored
108.1
25th of 30
Points allowed
113.4
15th fewest of 30
Margin
−5.3
21st of 30
Offense rating
106.7
23rd of 30
Defense rating
111.9
16th of 30
Pace
101.0
19th of 30
Last 10
3–7
19th of 27
At home
2–2
14th of 30
On the road
2–5
20th of 30
Opponent Elo
1507
15th toughest of 30

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the 2026-27 season and the playoffs, with standings ties broken by coin flip. Every team and how it works

Projected record

26-56

Now 4-7 · middle 80%: 20–31 wins

Make the playoffs

1%

Play-in: 5%

Reach the NBA Finals

<1%

Win it all

<1%

In 0 of 10,000 simulations

Playoff chances this season

Their chance to make the playoffs from each day's simulation of the rest of the season, since Nov 3. Now 1%.

0%50%100%Nov 3Nov 11

Upcoming

Forecasts for their next games. Their next 5 opponents average 1512 Elo, the 15th-toughest stretch of the league's 30.

Players

Who's been playing, busiest first. Each has projections, prop lines and recent games against the line.

Rating history

Elo over the last two seasons. The dashed line is league average.

Wizards
12001250130013501400NovJanMarMayJulSepNov

Against the line

This season, against each game's closing spread and total.

Against the spread
5–4
Last 10
5–4
As the favorite
1–0
As the underdog
4–4
Overs–unders
2–7
Overs–unders, last 10
2–7

Against each game's closing line. Books set every line knowing these records: across 3,901 past games, the team with the better record against the spread so far that season covered 51.2%, short of the 52.4% a standard −110 bet needs, and over/under streaks held 48.0% of the time. They describe the past.

Recent results

Last ten games and whether the forecast hit.

Injury report

Current ESPN report, with what the model subtracts for their next game.

  • Tristan Vukcevic F

    −1 EloOut

    14 min a game when healthy · 17.3 Game Score per 48

    Vukcevic (hip) has been ruled out for Monday's game against Detroit.

  • Reece Beekman G

    Out

    The Wizards announced Monday that Beekman sustained a right acromioclavicular joint injury and will be re-evaluated in approximately three weeks.

  • Justin Champagnie F

    Out

    Champagnie (foot) is expected to miss several months, per Josh Robbins of The Athletic.

  • Jamir Watkins G

    Out

    The Wizards announced Thursday that Watkins has undergone surgery for a torn ACL.